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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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Briefing · output

Growth: where the data is diverging

219 growth signals are diverging right now; 184 moving against their own trend; 35 sitting far from the global norm — led by United States.

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In short

United States — GDP is well above the global norm ($30.8T).
South Sudan — Real GDP growth is well above the global norm (46.10%).
Mauritania — GDP per capita is moving sharply against its own recent trend ($2.2K).
Monaco — GDP per capita is well above the global norm ($288.0K).

Supporting signals

The data behind this note

Ranked across countries with ≥1 M people or ≥$10 bn GDP so micro-territories don't crowd the board.

1United States — GDP is well above the global normpeerGDP$30.8T+10.46σ
2South Sudan — Real GDP growth is well above the global normpeerReal GDP growth46.10%+9.42σ
3Mauritania — GDP per capita is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumGDP per capita$2.2K+38.03%
4Monaco — GDP per capita is well above the global normpeerGDP per capita$288.0K+7.74σ
5DR Congo — GDP is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumGDP$0.1T+35.57%
6Mauritania — GDP is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumGDP$0.0T+22.88%
7Paraguay — GDP per capita is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumGDP per capita$7.0K+33.37%
8China — GDP is well above the global normpeerGDP$19.5T+6.54σ

Generated from current observations and the signal engine. Describes movement in the data — not a forecast or investment advice.