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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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Briefing · output

Growth: where the data is diverging

277 growth signals are diverging right now; 233 moving against their own trend; 44 sitting far from the global norm — led by Burundi.

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In short

Burundi — GDP is moving sharply against its own recent trend ($0.0T).
Burundi — GDP per capita is moving sharply against its own recent trend ($0.5K).
United States — GDP is well above the global norm ($32.4T).
Turkmenistan — GDP per capita is moving sharply against its own recent trend ($12.3K).

Supporting signals

The data behind this note

1Burundi — GDP is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumGDP$0.0T+141.83%
2Burundi — GDP per capita is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumGDP per capita$0.5K+133.49%
3United States — GDP is well above the global normpeerGDP$32.4T+11.73σ
4Turkmenistan — GDP per capita is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumGDP per capita$12.3K+88.08%
5Micronesia, Fed. Sts. — GDP per capita is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumGDP per capita$5.5K+24.92%
6Suriname — Investment is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumInvestment37.5%−9.54pp
7Turkmenistan — GDP is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumGDP$0.1T+66.7%
8Mauritania — GDP per capita is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumGDP per capita$3.0K+38.03%

Generated from current observations and the signal engine. Describes movement in the data — not a forecast or investment advice.