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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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Briefing · output

Growth: where the data is diverging

274 growth signals are diverging right now; 241 moving against their own trend; 33 sitting far from the global norm — led by United States.

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In short

United States — GDP is well above the global norm ($32.4T).
Guyana — Productivity is well above the global norm (41.47%).
Suriname — Investment is moving sharply against its own recent trend (37.5%).
West Bank and Gaza — Real GDP growth is well below the global norm (-26.56%).

Supporting signals

The data behind this note

1United States — GDP is well above the global normpeerGDP$32.4T+11.73σ
2Guyana — Productivity is well above the global normpeerProductivity41.47%+9.71σ
3Suriname — Investment is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumInvestment37.5%−9.54pp
4West Bank and Gaza — Real GDP growth is well below the global normpeerReal GDP growth-26.56%−8.29σ
5China — GDP is well above the global normpeerGDP$20.9T+7.47σ
6Monaco — GDP per capita is well above the global normpeerGDP per capita$288.0K+7.06σ
7Bolivia — GDP is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumGDP$0.1T+25.67%
8DR Congo — GDP is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumGDP$0.1T+32.93%

Generated from current observations and the signal engine. Describes movement in the data — not a forecast or investment advice.