PredictonomyPredictonomy
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PredictonomyPredictonomy

Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

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Hierarchy · root

World

The top of the drill-down: World → Region → Country → Sub-region / City → Sector → Signal → Prediction. Start with a region, or jump straight to a flagship view.

Global

World growth · 10-year scenario path

Observed global real-GDP growth with a baseline / optimistic / pessimistic forecast and confidence band.

Real GDP growth, % YoYLive

Sentiment

Global macro mood

Derived macro sentiment across every covered economy — how the world reads right now, and the extremes at each end. Open the full sentiment analysis for the leaderboards, dimensions and survey divergence.

Sentiment

Global macro mood

Sentiment analysis →

Global sentiment

+0.16

balanced

Avg. stress

42

/ 100 · 216 economies

Most supportive

  • St. Martin (French part)+0.90Normal
  • Northern Mariana Islands+0.90Normal
  • Monaco+0.90Normal

Predictive

Projected sentiment movers

All movers →

Projected improvers

  • West Bank and Gaza+0.42
  • South Sudan+0.38
  • Sudan+0.28

Projected deteriorators

  • Isle of Man−0.38
  • American Samoa−0.28
  • Cuba−0.26

Today’s sentiment vs the forward outlook from baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed.

Drill down

Regions

East Asia & Pacific→
Europe & Central Asia→
Imported→
Latin America & Caribbean→
Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan→
North America→
South Asia

Flagship

UK property & credit

United Kingdom · Property

House prices, regional pressure and city-level drill-down — formerly CitySignals.

United Kingdom · Credit

Mortgage rates, lending, approvals and arrears — the credit transmission chain.

All economies →

Most stressed

  • Virgin Islands (U.S.)−0.76Stressed
  • Sudan−0.58Stressed
  • Yemen, Rep.−0.54Stressed

Derived from live macro series across the covered economies — not market or news sentiment. Explore sentiment →

AI read
→
Sub-Saharan Africa→