Sentiment · derived

Sentiment analysis — global economies

Macro sentiment across the world: the global mood, which economies are most supportive vs most stressed, the aspects driving a single country, and how the consumer-confidence survey diverges from the fundamentals. Every reading is DERIVED from real live macro series (growth, inflation, unemployment, debt, external balance) — it is not ingested market or news sentiment, and it is not a forecast. Higher pressure = more stressed; sentiment runs −1 (stressed) to +1 (supportive).

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Global mood

How the world's macro sentiment reads right now

Aggregated across the 170 covered economies with live macro data — uncovered economies never appear.Ranked across countries with ≥1 M people or ≥$10 bn GDP so micro-territories don't crowd the board.

Global sentiment

+0.22−1 … +1

Average macro stress

39/ 100

Ranked economies

170

Distribution — overall read: balanced

supportive66

Leaderboards

Most supportive vs most stressed economies

Ranked across 170 material covered economies by the derived macro-pressure composite.Ranked across countries with ≥1 M people or ≥$10 bn GDP so micro-territories don't crowd the board.

Most supportive

Lowest macro stress — risk-on lean

By region

Sentiment by world region

Average derived sentiment across the covered economies in each World-Bank region — most-stressed region first.Ranked across countries with ≥1 M people or ≥$10 bn GDP so micro-territories don't crowd the board.

Region	Economies	Avg sentiment	Read	Most supportive	Most stressed
North America	2	−0.04Watch	balanced	United States	Canada
Europe & Central Asia	50	+0.16Watch	balanced	Monaco	Ukraine
Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan	23	+0.18

By aspect

United States — sentiment across the economy

The composite and the macro dimensions behind it. Open any economy below for its own breakdown.

Composite sentiment · derived

−0.02balancedWatch

Macro stress 51/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: High

As of 2025-12-31

By aspect — United States’s macro dimensions

GrowthWatch

+0.16balanced

Stress 42/100 · as of 2025-12-31

InflationNormal

Survey vs fundamentals

United States — how people feel vs what the data says

The observed OECD Consumer Confidence survey (soft) and its divergence from the derived macro fundamentals (hard).

Survey heldledger 51018ed

United States: consumer confidence is 95.88141 (below-trend pessimism); soft vs hard sentiment is mixed.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed

OECD Consumer Confidence Index

95.88

Pick an economy

Open a country sentiment read

Every covered country has a composite + macro dimensions; survey data exists for the ~41 OECD economies, others return an honest not-covered state.

Afghanistan Albania Algeria American Samoa Andorra Angola Antigua and Barbuda Argentina Armenia Aruba Australia Austria Azerbaijan Bahamas, The Bahrain

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3} (add ?include=dimensions,survey,divergence,forecast) · /api/v1/sentiment/countries?codes= · /api/v1/screener/sentiment · API docs