PredictonomyPredictonomy
Home
Countries
Indicators
Sectors
Sentiment
Studios
Briefings
Methodology
Sign in
PredictonomyPredictonomy

Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

Explore

  • Home
  • Countries
  • Indicators
  • Sectors
  • Sentiment
  • Studios
  • Briefings
  • Methodology
  • Global dashboard
  • Signals

Company

  • Pricing
  • Developers
  • Data status
  • About
  • Legal

Weekly newsletter

One email a week, every figure sourced from Predictonomy's own data. Learn more →

Briefing · trade

Trade & external: where the data is diverging

228 trade & external signals are diverging right now; 192 moving against their own trend; 36 sitting far from the global norm — led by United States.

← All briefings

In short

  • ›United States — FX reserves is moving sharply against its own recent trend (1,385.4B).
  • ›Germany — FX reserves is moving sharply against its own recent trend (572.2B).
  • ›France — FX reserves is moving sharply against its own recent trend (428.2B).
  • ›China — FX reserves ex-gold is well above the global norm (3,424.9B).

Supporting signals

The data behind this note

Ranked across countries with ≥1 M people or ≥$10 bn GDP so micro-territories don't crowd the board.

  • 1United States — FX reserves is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumFX reserves1,385.4B▲+52.24%
  • 2Germany — FX reserves is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumFX reserves572.2B▲+51.4%
  • 3France — FX reserves is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumFX reserves428.2B▲+51.39%
  • 4China — FX reserves ex-gold is well above the global normpeerFX reserves ex-gold3,424.9B▲+10.78σ
  • 5Italy — FX reserves is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumFX reserves434.0B▲+49.38%
  • 6Kyrgyz Republic — FX reserves is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumFX reserves5.1B▲+57.21%
  • 7China — FX reserves is well above the global normpeerFX reserves3,748.7B▲+10.1σ
  • 8Guatemala — FX reserves is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumFX reserves32.8B▲+34.17%

Generated from current observations and the signal engine. Describes movement in the data — not a forecast or investment advice.