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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Briefs/Bulgaria

Intelligence brief

Bulgaria — intelligence brief

The whole picture in one grounded read: observed macro indicators, the derived macro-sentiment composite, and the business-cycle regime. Derived reads interpret already-observed numbers; nothing here is a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly, never fabricated.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Brief

What the data says

Observed macro, derived sentiment, and the business-cycle regime — each traced to the live series it reads. Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/brief/country/{iso3}.

Full briefledger ca5c236

Bulgaria: macro conditions look balanced (pressure 36/100); the economy is in slowdown; 12 observed macro indicators held.

Macro sentiment

Macro pressure

Derived
Watch
36/ 100

Higher = more macro pressure. Reads as balanced (sentiment +0.28, −1 stressed … +1 supportive).

ⓘ How this score works
Confidence: 90%

Business-cycle regime

DerivedRegime inputsas of 2026

Slowdown

growth 2.8%momentum -0.30confidence: high

No turning-point signals — momentum steady, no extreme readings.

Latest observations

Observed2 indicators omitted (not covered)

as of 2026-01-01

Current account balance to GDPObserved
-4.0%

IMF DataMapper API

as of 2024-01-01

Exports of goods and servicesObserved
56.4%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Gross domestic product, current US dollarsObserved
$113.3bn

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

GDP per capita, current US dollarsObserved
$17.6k

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Real GDP growthObserved
3.4%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2026-01-01

General government debt to GDPObserved
28.2%

IMF DataMapper API

as of 2024-01-01

Imports of goods and servicesObserved
53.9%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Consumer price inflationObserved
2.4%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Gross fixed capital formation to GDPObserved
18.3%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Total populationObserved
6.4m

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Productivity growthObserved
4.4%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2025-01-01

Unemployment rateObserved
3.5%

World Bank Indicators API

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/brief/country/BGR · API docs