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World/Briefs/Eritrea

Intelligence brief

Eritrea — intelligence brief

The whole picture in one grounded read: observed macro indicators, the derived macro-sentiment composite, and the business-cycle regime. Derived reads interpret already-observed numbers; nothing here is a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly, never fabricated.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Brief

What the data says

Observed macro, derived sentiment, and the business-cycle regime — each traced to the live series it reads. Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/brief/country/{iso3}.

Full briefledger ca5c236

Eritrea: macro conditions look balanced (pressure 42/100); the economy is in slowdown; 2 turning-point signals flagged; 11 observed macro indicators held.

Macro sentiment

Macro pressure

Derived
Watch
42/ 100

Higher = more macro pressure. Reads as balanced (sentiment +0.16, −1 stressed … +1 supportive).

ⓘ How this score works
Confidence: 90%

Business-cycle regime

DerivedRegime inputsas of 2019

Slowdown

growth 3.8%momentum -9.20confidence: high
Turning-point signals
  • Real GDP growth turned down (was rising, now falling).
  • CPI inflation turned up (was falling, now rising).

Latest observations

Observed2 indicators omitted (not covered)

as of 2019-01-01

Current account balance to GDPObservedStale
13.0%

IMF DataMapper API

as of 2011-01-01

Exports of goods and servicesObservedStale
18.2%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2011-01-01

Gross domestic product, current US dollarsObservedStale
$2.1bn

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2011-01-01

GDP per capita, current US dollarsObservedStale
$689

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2011-01-01

Real GDP growthObservedStale
8.7%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2019-01-01

General government debt to GDPObservedStale
260.4%

IMF DataMapper API

as of 2011-01-01

Imports of goods and servicesObservedStale
29.2%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2019-01-01

Consumer price inflationObservedStale
1.3%

IMF DataMapper API

as of 2011-01-01

Gross fixed capital formation to GDPObservedStale
12.6%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Total populationObserved
3.5m

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2025-01-01

Unemployment rateObserved
6.0%

World Bank Indicators API

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/brief/country/ERI · API docs