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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Briefs/Guinea-Bissau

Intelligence brief

Guinea-Bissau — intelligence brief

The whole picture in one grounded read: observed macro indicators, the derived macro-sentiment composite, and the business-cycle regime. Derived reads interpret already-observed numbers; nothing here is a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly, never fabricated.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Brief

What the data says

Observed macro, derived sentiment, and the business-cycle regime — each traced to the live series it reads. Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/brief/country/{iso3}.

Full briefledger ca5c236

Guinea-Bissau: macro conditions look supportive (pressure 35/100); the economy is in slowdown; 2 turning-point signals flagged; 12 observed macro indicators held.

Macro sentiment

Macro pressure

Derived
Watch
35/ 100

Higher = more macro pressure. Reads as supportive (sentiment +0.30, −1 stressed … +1 supportive).

ⓘ How this score works
Confidence: 90%

Business-cycle regime

DerivedRegime inputsas of 2026

Slowdown

growth 4.9%momentum -0.60confidence: high
Turning-point signals
  • Real GDP growth turned down (was rising, now falling).
  • CPI inflation turned up (was falling, now rising).

Latest observations

Observed2 indicators omitted (not covered)

as of 2026-01-01

Current account balance to GDPObserved
-6.3%

IMF DataMapper API

as of 2024-01-01

Exports of goods and servicesObserved
11.8%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Gross domestic product, current US dollarsObserved
$2.2bn

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

GDP per capita, current US dollarsObserved
$1k

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Real GDP growthObserved
4.1%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2026-01-01

General government debt to GDPObserved
73.6%

IMF DataMapper API

as of 2024-01-01

Imports of goods and servicesObserved
27.0%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Consumer price inflationObserved
3.8%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Gross fixed capital formation to GDPObserved
24.1%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Total populationObserved
2.2m

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Productivity growthObserved
1.2%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2025-01-01

Unemployment rateObserved
2.7%

World Bank Indicators API

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/brief/country/GNB · API docs