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World/Briefs/New Caledonia

Intelligence brief

New Caledonia — intelligence brief

The whole picture in one grounded read: observed macro indicators, the derived macro-sentiment composite, and the business-cycle regime. Derived reads interpret already-observed numbers; nothing here is a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly, never fabricated.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Brief

What the data says

Observed macro, derived sentiment, and the business-cycle regime — each traced to the live series it reads. Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/brief/country/{iso3}.

Full briefledger ca5c236

New Caledonia: macro conditions look cautious (pressure 72/100); the economy is in contraction; 9 observed macro indicators held.

Macro sentiment

Macro pressure

Derived
Elevated
72/ 100

Higher = more macro pressure. Reads as cautious (sentiment -0.44, −1 stressed … +1 supportive).

ⓘ How this score works
Confidence: 70%

Business-cycle regime

DerivedRegime inputsas of 2024

Contraction

growth -13.5%momentum -16.30confidence: high

No turning-point signals — momentum steady, no extreme readings.

Latest observations

Observed2 indicators omitted (not covered)

as of 2024-01-01

Exports of goods and servicesObserved
11.7%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Gross domestic product, current US dollarsObserved
$8.5bn

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

GDP per capita, current US dollarsObserved
$29.2k

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Real GDP growthObserved
-13.5%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Imports of goods and servicesObserved
28.7%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2016-01-01

Consumer price inflationObservedStale
0.6%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Gross fixed capital formation to GDPObserved
22.1%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Total populationObserved
292.6k

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2025-01-01

Unemployment rateObserved
11.2%

World Bank Indicators API

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/brief/country/NCL · API docs