PredictonomyPredictonomy
Home
Countries
Indicators
Sectors
Studios
Briefings
Methodology
Sign in
PredictonomyPredictonomy

Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

Explore

  • Home
  • Countries
  • Indicators
  • Sectors
  • Studios
  • Briefings
  • Methodology
  • Global dashboard
  • Signals

Company

  • Pricing
  • Developers
  • Data status
  • About
  • Legal
World/Briefs/Poland

Intelligence brief

Poland — intelligence brief

The whole picture in one grounded read: observed macro indicators, the derived macro-sentiment composite, and the business-cycle regime. Derived reads interpret already-observed numbers; nothing here is a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly, never fabricated.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Brief

What the data says

Observed macro, derived sentiment, and the business-cycle regime — each traced to the live series it reads. Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/brief/country/{iso3}.

Full briefledger ca5c236

Poland: macro conditions look balanced (pressure 39/100); the economy is in slowdown; 1 turning-point signal flagged; 13 observed macro indicators held.

Macro sentiment

Macro pressure

Derived
Watch
39/ 100

Higher = more macro pressure. Reads as balanced (sentiment +0.22, −1 stressed … +1 supportive).

ⓘ How this score works
Confidence: 90%

Business-cycle regime

DerivedRegime inputsas of 2026

Slowdown

growth 3.3%momentum -0.30confidence: high
Turning-point signals
  • Real GDP growth turned down (was rising, now falling).

Latest observations

Observed2 indicators omitted (not covered)

as of 2026-05-01

Consumer confidence indexObserved
100.4

OECD SDMX API

as of 2026-01-01

Current account balance to GDPObserved
-1.1%

IMF DataMapper API

as of 2024-01-01

Exports of goods and servicesObserved
52.2%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Gross domestic product, current US dollarsObserved
$917.8bn

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

GDP per capita, current US dollarsObserved
$25.1k

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Real GDP growthObserved
3.0%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2026-01-01

General government debt to GDPObserved
65.7%

IMF DataMapper API

as of 2024-01-01

Imports of goods and servicesObserved
48.2%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Consumer price inflationObserved
3.8%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Gross fixed capital formation to GDPObserved
17.0%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Total populationObserved
36.6m

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2024-01-01

Productivity growthObserved
4.1%

World Bank Indicators API

as of 2025-01-01

Unemployment rateObserved
3.0%

World Bank Indicators API

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/brief/country/POL · API docs