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Briefing · inflation

Inflation: where the data is diverging

9 inflation signals are diverging right now; 4 moving against their own trend; 5 sitting far from the global norm — led by Venezuela.

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In short

Venezuela — Inflation is well above the global norm (252.0%).
West Bank and Gaza — Inflation is moving sharply against its own recent trend (9.8%).
Sudan — Inflation is well above the global norm (100.2%).
South Sudan — Inflation is well above the global norm (97.6%).

Supporting signals

The data behind this note

Ranked across countries with ≥1 M people or ≥$10 bn GDP so micro-territories don't crowd the board.

1Venezuela — Inflation is well above the global normpeerInflation252.0%+10.34σ
2West Bank and Gaza — Inflation is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumInflation9.8%−43.86pp
3Sudan — Inflation is well above the global normpeerInflation100.2%+3.9σ
4South Sudan — Inflation is well above the global normpeerInflation97.6%+3.79σ
5Zimbabwe — Inflation is well above the global normpeerInflation81.4%+3.1σ
6Romania — CPI monthly is well above the global normpeerCPI monthly8.2%+3.08σ
7Iran — Inflation is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumInflation42.2%+26.73pp
8Cyprus — CPI monthly is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumCPI monthly5.2%+5,100%

Generated from current observations and the signal engine. Describes movement in the data — not a forecast or investment advice.