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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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Briefing · inflation

Inflation: where the data is diverging

7 inflation signals are diverging right now; 4 moving against their own trend; 3 sitting far from the global norm — led by West Bank and Gaza.

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In short

  • ›West Bank and Gaza — Inflation is moving sharply against its own recent trend (53.7%).
  • ›Venezuela — Inflation is well above the global norm (387.4%).
  • ›Sudan — Inflation is well above the global norm (75.1%).
  • ›Iran — Inflation is well above the global norm (68.9%).

Supporting signals

The data behind this note

  • 1West Bank and Gaza — Inflation is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumInflation53.7%▲+47.8pp
  • 2Venezuela — Inflation is well above the global normpeerInflation387.4%▲+13.39σ
  • 3Sudan — Inflation is well above the global normpeerInflation75.1%▲+2.38σ
  • 4Iran — Inflation is well above the global normpeerInflation68.9%▲+2.16σ
  • 5Burundi — Inflation is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumInflation14.5%▼−19.7pp
  • 6Sri Lanka — Inflation is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumInflation-0.4%▼−16.97pp
  • 7Iran — Inflation is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumInflation68.9%▲+18pp

Generated from current observations and the signal engine. Describes movement in the data — not a forecast or investment advice.