inflation · indicator
Annual percentage change in consumer prices.
Global · 2025
Baseline · 2026
How it’s forecast
Inflation uses a exponential smoothing model with a 6-year lookback, 70% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
Why it matters
Lower readings are generally healthier for this metric.
Trajectory
Before consensus
Countries whose latest reading deviates most from their own recent trend.
Rankings
By country
Observed history with a baseline / optimistic / pessimistic forecast for the largest current readings.
Forecast
Per-country latest reading and baseline forecast across horizons.
Realized track record: across 218 forecasts published in advance and since matured (through 2026), the typical miss is ±4.03 (59% MAPE) · reliability leaderboard →. A track record, not a guarantee.
| Country | Latest | Year | 1y | 3y | 5y | 10y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afghanistan | 2.9% | 2025 | 7.3% | 20.6% | 33.9% | 50.0% |
| Albania | 2.1% | 2025 | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Algeria | 1.4% | 2025 | 0.8% | -2.9% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Andorra | 2.4% | 2025 | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | -2.1% |
| Angola | 20.2% | 2025 | 15.9% | 4.5% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Antigua and Barbuda | 1.4% | 2025 | -0.6% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Argentina | 41.9% | 2025 | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Armenia | 3.3% | 2025 | 4.8% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 24.0% |
| Aruba | 0.1% | 2025 | -0.4% | -2.6% | -4.9% | -5.0% |
| Australia | 2.9% | 2025 | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Austria | 3.5% | 2025 | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% |
| Azerbaijan | 5.6% | 2025 | 7.6% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 29.1% |
| Bahamas, The | 0.6% | 2025 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% |
| Bahrain | -0.1% | 2025 | -0.6% | -2.1% | -3.5% | -5.0% |
| Bangladesh | 8.8% | 2025 | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | -2.7% |
| Barbados | 0.8% | 2025 | 0.8% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -3.0% |
| Belarus | 6.6% | 2025 | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% |
| Belgium | 2.5% | 2025 | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | -1.9% |
| Belize | 1.1% | 2025 | 0.3% | -2.8% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Benin | 1.1% | 2025 | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Bhutan | 3.6% | 2025 | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% |
| Bolivia | 19.5% | 2025 | 25.0% | 45.2% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 4.0% | 2025 | 5.4% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 20.0% |
| Botswana | 2.7% | 2025 | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Brazil | 5.0% | 2025 | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% |
| Brunei | -0.3% | 2025 | -0.1% | -0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Bulgaria | 4.6% | 2025 | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 19.6% |
| Burkina Faso | -0.6% | 2025 | -2.5% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Burundi | 34.1% | 2025 | 40.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Cabo Verde | 2.3% | 2025 | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 11.3% |
| Cambodia | 2.4% | 2025 | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 12.9% |
| Cameroon | 3.4% | 2025 | 3.1% | 1.6% | -0.0% | -4.0% |
| Canada | 2.1% | 2025 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Cayman Islands | -0.6% | 2016 | 0.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 11.3% |
| Central African Republic | 1.0% | 2025 | 1.0% | 0.3% | -0.3% | -2.0% |
| Chad | -3.9% | 2025 | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Chile | 4.2% | 2025 | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% |
| China | 0.1% | 2025 | 0.0% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -1.0% |
| Colombia | 5.1% | 2025 | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | -4.3% |
| Comoros | 3.2% | 2025 | 2.8% | 0.3% | -2.2% | -5.0% |
| Congo | 2.4% | 2025 | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | -2.2% |
| Costa Rica | -0.1% | 2025 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% |
| Croatia | 3.7% | 2025 | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% |
| Curacao | 2.6% | 2019 | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% |
| Cyprus | 0.1% | 2025 | -0.3% | -2.7% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Czechia | 2.5% | 2025 | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 0.1% | 2025 | -1.1% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| DR Congo | 7.4% | 2025 | 3.2% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Denmark | 1.9% | 2025 | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% |
| Djibouti | -0.3% | 2025 | -1.3% | -4.7% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Dominica | 2.5% | 2025 | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Dominican Republic | 3.9% | 2025 | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% |
| Ecuador | 0.7% | 2025 | 0.4% | -0.7% | -1.9% | -4.8% |
| Egypt | 14.1% | 2025 | 8.3% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| El Salvador | 0.3% | 2025 | 0.4% | -0.5% | -1.3% | -3.4% |
| Equatorial Guinea | 2.8% | 2025 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Eritrea | 1.3% | 2019 | 8.1% | 30.1% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Estonia | 4.8% | 2025 | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 14.3% |
| Eswatini | 3.1% | 2025 | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | -2.9% |
| Ethiopia | 13.2% | 2025 | 11.0% | 0.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Fiji | -1.4% | 2025 | -3.5% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Finland | 0.3% | 2025 | 0.2% | -1.5% | -3.2% | -5.0% |
| France | 0.9% | 2025 | 0.8% | -0.7% | -2.2% | -5.0% |
| Gabon | 1.8% | 2025 | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% |
| Gambia, The | 7.9% | 2025 | 6.7% | 1.6% | -3.5% | -5.0% |
| Georgia | 3.9% | 2025 | 5.3% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 22.7% |
| Germany | 2.2% | 2025 | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Ghana | 14.2% | 2025 | 11.8% | -0.3% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Greece | 2.5% | 2025 | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Grenada | 0.6% | 2025 | 0.5% | -0.1% | -0.8% | -2.5% |
| Guatemala | 1.5% | 2025 | 1.2% | -0.7% | -2.6% | -5.0% |
| Guinea | 3.5% | 2025 | 1.8% | -4.6% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Guinea-Bissau | 0.9% | 2025 | 0.0% | -4.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Guyana | 3.3% | 2025 | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% |
| Haiti | 28.6% | 2025 | 30.0% | 32.4% | 34.7% | 40.7% |
| Honduras | 4.6% | 2025 | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% |
| Hong Kong | 1.4% | 2025 | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | -0.5% |
| Hungary | 4.4% | 2025 | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% |
| Iceland | 4.1% | 2025 | 3.6% | 1.1% | -1.3% | -5.0% |
| India | 2.4% | 2025 | 1.5% | -2.1% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Indonesia | 1.9% | 2025 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Iran | 42.2% | 2025 | 47.1% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Iraq | 0.3% | 2025 | -0.5% | -3.7% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Ireland | 2.2% | 2025 | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% |
| Israel | 3.0% | 2025 | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% |
| Italy | 1.5% | 2025 | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% |
| Jamaica | 4.0% | 2025 | 3.6% | 1.6% | -0.3% | -5.0% |
| Japan | 3.2% | 2025 | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% |
| Jordan | 1.8% | 2025 | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% |
| Kazakhstan | 11.4% | 2025 | 12.9% | 16.7% | 20.5% | 29.9% |
| Kenya | 4.1% | 2025 | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Kiribati | 6.5% | 2025 | 8.6% | 14.3% | 19.9% | 34.1% |
| Kosovo | 3.9% | 2025 | 5.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 19.3% |
| Kuwait | 2.4% | 2025 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | -1.2% |
| Kyrgyz Republic | 8.2% | 2025 | 10.1% | 14.6% | 19.1% | 30.3% |
| Laos | 7.7% | 2025 | 1.9% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Latvia | 3.7% | 2025 | 5.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 21.2% |
| Lebanon | 14.6% | 2025 | 16.5% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Lesotho | 4.3% | 2025 | 3.6% | 1.0% | -1.6% | -5.0% |
| Liberia | 8.3% | 2025 | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% |
| Libya | 1.8% | 2025 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | -0.0% |
| Liechtenstein | 0.2% | 2025 | -0.1% | -1.3% | -2.6% | -5.0% |
| Lithuania | 3.8% | 2025 | 5.9% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 25.3% |
| Luxembourg | 2.3% | 2025 | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% |
| Macao | 0.3% | 2025 | 0.2% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -1.9% |
| Madagascar | 8.1% | 2025 | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% |
| Malawi | 28.4% | 2025 | 26.2% | 20.9% | 15.6% | 2.2% |
| Malaysia | 1.4% | 2025 | 1.3% | 0.6% | -0.0% | -1.6% |
| Maldives | 4.0% | 2025 | 5.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 21.5% |
| Mali | 3.3% | 2025 | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% |
| Malta | 2.4% | 2025 | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% |
| Marshall Islands | 5.5% | 2025 | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% |
| Mauritania | 1.5% | 2025 | 1.5% | 0.1% | -1.2% | -4.5% |
| Mauritius | 3.7% | 2025 | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% |
| Mexico | 3.8% | 2025 | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | -2.2% |
| Micronesia, Fed. Sts. | 3.2% | 2025 | 2.3% | -0.7% | -3.8% | -5.0% |
| Moldova | 7.8% | 2025 | 10.0% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 29.4% |
| Mongolia | 8.6% | 2025 | 10.0% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 25.2% |
| Montenegro | 3.9% | 2025 | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% |
| Morocco | 0.7% | 2025 | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | -0.8% |
| Mozambique | 4.4% | 2025 | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% |
| Myanmar | 22.0% | 2025 | 18.6% | 8.0% | -2.7% | -5.0% |
| Namibia | 3.5% | 2025 | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | -1.2% |
| Naoero | 6.1% | 2025 | 4.3% | -0.2% | -4.6% | -5.0% |
| Nepal | 2.7% | 2025 | 2.0% | -0.8% | -3.6% | -5.0% |
| Netherlands | 3.3% | 2025 | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% |
| New Caledonia | 0.6% | 2016 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| New Zealand | 2.8% | 2025 | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Nicaragua | 2.1% | 2025 | 1.4% | -2.1% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Niger | -4.5% | 2025 | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Nigeria | 23.0% | 2025 | 18.0% | 3.6% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| North Macedonia | 4.1% | 2025 | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% |
| Norway | 3.1% | 2025 | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% |
| Oman | 1.0% | 2025 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% |
| Pakistan | 3.5% | 2025 | 1.2% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Palau | -0.4% | 2025 | -0.6% | -4.3% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Panama | -0.2% | 2025 | -0.5% | -1.7% | -2.9% | -5.0% |
| Papua New Guinea | 4.4% | 2025 | 6.2% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 30.2% |
| Paraguay | 4.0% | 2025 | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% |
| Peru | 1.5% | 2025 | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | -1.2% |
| Philippines | 1.7% | 2025 | 1.3% | -0.9% | -3.1% | -5.0% |
| Poland | 3.8% | 2025 | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% |
| Portugal | 2.3% | 2025 | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Puerto Rico (US) | 1.4% | 2025 | 1.3% | 0.5% | -0.4% | -2.5% |
| Qatar | 0.6% | 2025 | 0.5% | -0.4% | -1.4% | -3.7% |
| Romania | 7.2% | 2025 | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 17.5% |
| Russia | 8.7% | 2025 | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% |
| Rwanda | 5.9% | 2025 | 9.0% | 14.8% | 20.6% | 35.1% |
| Samoa | 2.2% | 2025 | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% |
| San Marino | 2.3% | 2025 | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.7% |
| Sao Tome and Principe | 11.0% | 2025 | 10.2% | 5.6% | 0.9% | -5.0% |
| Saudi Arabia | 2.1% | 2025 | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% |
| Senegal | 1.5% | 2025 | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% |
| Serbia | 3.9% | 2025 | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | -0.7% |
| Seychelles | 0.3% | 2025 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sierra Leone | 7.5% | 2025 | 0.1% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Singapore | 0.9% | 2025 | 0.5% | -1.6% | -3.6% | -5.0% |
| Sint Maarten (Dutch part) | 2.2% | 2017 | 3.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 16.2% |
| Slovakia | 4.0% | 2025 | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 13.0% |
| Slovenia | 2.4% | 2025 | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% |
| Solomon Islands | 3.4% | 2025 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | -3.0% |
| Somalia, Fed. Rep. | 3.7% | 2025 | 3.0% | 0.5% | -2.0% | -5.0% |
| South Africa | 3.2% | 2025 | 2.9% | 1.3% | -0.3% | -4.4% |
| South Korea | 2.1% | 2025 | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| South Sudan | 97.6% | 2025 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Spain | 2.7% | 2025 | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
| Sri Lanka | -4.8% | 2025 | -4.4% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| St. Kitts and Nevis | 1.3% | 2025 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% |
| St. Lucia | 2.0% | 2025 | 3.6% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 20.6% |
| St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 0.8% | 2025 | -0.2% | -4.2% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Sudan | 100.2% | 2025 | 50.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Suriname | 9.2% | 2025 | 9.6% | -0.2% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Sweden | 0.7% | 2025 | 0.3% | -2.7% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Switzerland | 0.2% | 2025 | -0.1% | -1.4% | -2.7% | -5.0% |
| Syria | 13.4% | 2019 | 20.6% | 38.1% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Taiwan | 1.7% | 2025 | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | -1.6% |
| Tajikistan | 3.4% | 2025 | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Tanzania | 3.3% | 2025 | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% |
| Thailand | -0.1% | 2025 | -0.2% | -0.9% | -1.7% | -3.5% |
| Timor-Leste | 0.4% | 2025 | 0.3% | -2.0% | -4.3% | -5.0% |
| Togo | 0.4% | 2025 | -0.3% | -3.7% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Tonga | 5.6% | 2025 | 6.9% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 22.1% |
| Trinidad and Tobago | 1.0% | 2025 | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% |
| Tunisia | 5.2% | 2025 | 4.5% | 1.6% | -1.3% | -5.0% |
| Turkmenistan | 2.7% | 2025 | 1.8% | -0.9% | -3.6% | -5.0% |
| Tuvalu | 2.0% | 2025 | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% |
| Türkiye | 34.9% | 2025 | 25.1% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Uganda | 3.6% | 2025 | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% |
| Ukraine | 12.7% | 2025 | 15.9% | 24.6% | 33.3% | 50.0% |
| United Arab Emirates | 1.3% | 2025 | 1.1% | 0.6% | -0.0% | -1.5% |
| United Kingdom | 3.9% | 2025 | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% |
| United States | 2.7% | 2025 | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Uruguay | 4.7% | 2025 | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Uzbekistan | 8.8% | 2025 | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Vanuatu | 0.7% | 2025 | 1.2% | 0.5% | -0.1% | -1.9% |
| Venezuela | 252.0% | 2025 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Vietnam | 3.3% | 2025 | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| West Bank and Gaza | 9.8% | 2025 | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Yemen, Rep. | 21.4% | 2025 | 19.1% | 11.9% | 4.6% | -5.0% |
| Zambia | 13.9% | 2025 | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
| Zimbabwe | 81.4% | 2025 | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
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Inflation uses a exponential smoothing model with a 6-year lookback, 70% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
