inflation · indicator
Annual percentage change in consumer prices.
Global · 2026
Baseline · 2027
How it’s forecast
Inflation uses a exponential smoothing model with a 6-year lookback, 70% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
Why it matters
Lower readings are generally healthier for this metric.
Trajectory
Before consensus
Countries whose latest reading deviates most from their own recent trend.
Rankings
By country
Observed history with a baseline / optimistic / pessimistic forecast for the largest current readings.
Forecast
Per-country latest reading and baseline forecast across horizons.
| Country | Latest | Year | 1y | 3y | 5y | 10y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afghanistan | 2.9% | 2025 | 7.3% | 20.6% | 33.9% | 50.0% |
| Albania | 3.4% | 2026 | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.5% |
| Algeria | 2.9% | 2026 | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 13.3% |
| Andorra | 3.0% | 2026 | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% |
| Angola | 12.9% | 2026 | 10.4% | 0.2% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Antigua and Barbuda | 2.6% | 2026 | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.0% |
| Argentina | 30.4% | 2026 | 38.9% | 22.8% | 6.7% | -5.0% |
| Armenia | 3.6% | 2026 | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% |
| Aruba | 1.2% | 2026 | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.8% |
| Australia | 4.0% | 2026 | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% |
| Austria | 2.5% | 2026 | 2.1% | 0.6% | -1.0% | -4.8% |
| Azerbaijan | 6.0% | 2026 | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% |
| Bahamas, The | 1.6% | 2026 | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.4% |
| Bahrain | 2.4% | 2026 | 3.5% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 19.2% |
| Bangladesh | 9.2% | 2026 | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Barbados | 2.3% | 2026 | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 12.5% |
| Belarus | 6.4% | 2026 | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Belgium | 2.8% | 2026 | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Belize | 1.5% | 2026 | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% |
| Benin | 2.0% | 2026 | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.1% |
| Bhutan | 4.0% | 2026 | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 13.4% |
| Bolivia | 20.7% | 2026 | 19.8% | 21.5% | 23.2% | 27.4% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 4.5% | 2026 | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% |
| Botswana | 5.1% | 2026 | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 20.6% |
| Brazil | 4.0% | 2026 | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | -2.7% |
| Brunei | 1.6% | 2026 | 2.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 14.4% |
| Bulgaria | 3.8% | 2026 | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% |
| Burkina Faso | 1.5% | 2026 | 2.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 15.3% |
| Burundi | 14.5% | 2026 | 5.5% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Cabo Verde | 2.2% | 2026 | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Cambodia | 3.0% | 2026 | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% |
| Cameroon | 3.5% | 2026 | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% |
| Canada | 2.5% | 2026 | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% |
| Cayman Islands | -0.6% | 2016 | 0.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 11.3% |
| Central African Republic | 1.5% | 2026 | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% |
| Chad | 0.5% | 2026 | 2.8% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 22.3% |
| Chile | 2.9% | 2026 | 2.5% | 0.7% | -1.1% | -5.0% |
| China | 1.2% | 2026 | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 9.3% |
| Colombia | 5.9% | 2026 | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% |
| Comoros | 3.7% | 2026 | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% |
| Congo | 2.8% | 2026 | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% |
| Costa Rica | -0.4% | 2026 | -0.5% | -0.9% | -1.3% | -2.4% |
| Croatia | 4.4% | 2026 | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% |
| Curacao | 2.6% | 2019 | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% |
| Cyprus | 2.6% | 2026 | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 14.8% |
| Czechia | 2.4% | 2026 | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 1.8% | 2026 | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 13.5% |
| DR Congo | 3.3% | 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Denmark | 2.0% | 2026 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% |
| Djibouti | 1.5% | 2026 | 2.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 13.8% |
| Dominica | 3.0% | 2026 | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% |
| Dominican Republic | 5.1% | 2026 | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 13.2% |
| Ecuador | 2.9% | 2026 | 3.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 17.7% |
| Egypt | 13.2% | 2026 | 11.0% | 0.9% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| El Salvador | 2.5% | 2026 | 3.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 17.4% |
| Equatorial Guinea | 3.2% | 2026 | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% |
| Eritrea | 1.3% | 2019 | 8.1% | 30.1% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Estonia | 3.8% | 2026 | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | -2.8% |
| Eswatini | 3.5% | 2026 | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% |
| Ethiopia | 11.8% | 2026 | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Fiji | 2.2% | 2026 | 4.1% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 26.8% |
| Finland | 2.5% | 2026 | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% |
| France | 1.8% | 2026 | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.0% |
| Gabon | 2.5% | 2026 | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% |
| Gambia, The | 5.8% | 2026 | 5.4% | 2.4% | -0.5% | -5.0% |
| Georgia | 4.4% | 2026 | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% |
| Germany | 2.7% | 2026 | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% |
| Ghana | 5.8% | 2026 | 3.5% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Greece | 3.5% | 2026 | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% |
| Grenada | 1.3% | 2026 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% |
| Guatemala | 2.6% | 2026 | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.5% |
| Guinea | 4.1% | 2026 | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.3% |
| Guinea-Bissau | 2.5% | 2026 | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 13.6% |
| Guyana | 4.1% | 2026 | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% |
| Haiti | 23.5% | 2026 | 21.7% | 14.9% | 8.2% | -5.0% |
| Honduras | 4.4% | 2026 | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Hong Kong | 2.1% | 2026 | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% |
| Hungary | 3.8% | 2026 | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Iceland | 4.8% | 2026 | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% |
| India | 4.7% | 2026 | 6.0% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 22.4% |
| Indonesia | 3.0% | 2026 | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.4% |
| Iran | 68.9% | 2026 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Iraq | 3.0% | 2026 | 3.4% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 20.4% |
| Ireland | 3.1% | 2026 | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.9% |
| Israel | 2.3% | 2026 | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | -2.4% |
| Italy | 2.6% | 2026 | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.4% |
| Jamaica | 6.1% | 2026 | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 21.0% |
| Japan | 2.2% | 2026 | 1.8% | 0.4% | -1.0% | -4.5% |
| Jordan | 2.3% | 2026 | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% |
| Kazakhstan | 10.7% | 2026 | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Kenya | 5.9% | 2026 | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 18.1% |
| Kiribati | 4.5% | 2026 | 3.5% | 0.7% | -2.1% | -5.0% |
| Kosovo | 1.6% | 2024 | 0.6% | -4.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Kuwait | 2.8% | 2026 | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% |
| Kyrgyz Republic | 10.6% | 2026 | 11.4% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 26.6% |
| Laos | 9.6% | 2026 | 11.9% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 23.8% |
| Latvia | 3.0% | 2026 | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | -2.3% |
| Lebanon | 14.6% | 2025 | 16.5% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Lesotho | 4.2% | 2026 | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| Liberia | 5.7% | 2026 | 4.7% | 1.0% | -2.6% | -5.0% |
| Libya | 10.5% | 2026 | 14.0% | 26.2% | 38.4% | 50.0% |
| Liechtenstein | 0.5% | 2026 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% |
| Lithuania | 4.0% | 2026 | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% |
| Luxembourg | 2.1% | 2026 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | -0.6% |
| Macao | 1.8% | 2026 | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 11.9% |
| Madagascar | 8.3% | 2026 | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% |
| Malawi | 24.4% | 2026 | 23.0% | 17.4% | 11.8% | -2.2% |
| Malaysia | 1.9% | 2026 | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% |
| Maldives | 3.0% | 2026 | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | -0.5% |
| Mali | 2.2% | 2026 | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Malta | 2.5% | 2026 | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% |
| Marshall Islands | 7.4% | 2026 | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 20.1% |
| Mauritania | 4.1% | 2026 | 5.3% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 21.0% |
| Mauritius | 3.7% | 2026 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| Mexico | 3.9% | 2026 | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% |
| Micronesia, Fed. Sts. | 3.2% | 2026 | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| Moldova | 6.4% | 2026 | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | -3.0% |
| Mongolia | 7.4% | 2026 | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | -0.7% |
| Montenegro | 3.2% | 2026 | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | -1.4% |
| Morocco | 1.3% | 2026 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% |
| Mozambique | 4.4% | 2026 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Myanmar | 19.0% | 2026 | 18.4% | 14.2% | 10.0% | -0.5% |
| Namibia | 3.9% | 2026 | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% |
| Nauru | 5.5% | 2026 | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Nepal | 3.1% | 2026 | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | -3.5% |
| Netherlands | 2.7% | 2026 | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| New Caledonia | 0.6% | 2016 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| New Zealand | 3.1% | 2026 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% |
| Nicaragua | 3.5% | 2026 | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 13.2% |
| Niger | 0.4% | 2026 | 3.5% | 10.5% | 17.5% | 35.0% |
| Nigeria | 16.0% | 2026 | 13.8% | 4.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| North Macedonia | 4.5% | 2026 | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% |
| Norway | 3.3% | 2026 | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% |
| Oman | 1.7% | 2026 | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% |
| Pakistan | 7.2% | 2026 | 9.4% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 26.4% |
| Palau | 5.9% | 2026 | 8.6% | 16.4% | 24.3% | 43.9% |
| Panama | 1.4% | 2026 | 2.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 10.9% |
| Papua New Guinea | 5.0% | 2026 | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% |
| Paraguay | 3.3% | 2026 | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | -2.0% |
| Peru | 2.5% | 2026 | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.4% |
| Philippines | 4.3% | 2026 | 5.5% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 21.9% |
| Poland | 3.3% | 2026 | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Portugal | 3.1% | 2026 | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.2% |
| Puerto Rico (US) | 2.1% | 2026 | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% |
| Qatar | 3.9% | 2026 | 5.3% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 26.1% |
| Romania | 7.8% | 2026 | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% |
| Russia | 5.6% | 2026 | 4.3% | -0.0% | -4.4% | -5.0% |
| Rwanda | 5.6% | 2026 | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | -3.8% |
| Samoa | 2.5% | 2026 | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% |
| San Marino | 2.8% | 2026 | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% |
| Sao Tome and Principe | 9.6% | 2026 | 14.4% | 26.6% | 38.8% | 50.0% |
| Saudi Arabia | 2.3% | 2026 | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% |
| Senegal | 2.5% | 2026 | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 10.0% |
| Serbia | 5.2% | 2026 | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 14.2% |
| Seychelles | 2.6% | 2026 | 3.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 18.0% |
| Sierra Leone | 7.5% | 2026 | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% |
| Singapore | 2.3% | 2026 | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.9% |
| Sint Maarten (Dutch part) | 2.2% | 2017 | 3.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 16.2% |
| Slovakia | 4.2% | 2026 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| Slovenia | 2.9% | 2026 | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% |
| Solomon Islands | 3.2% | 2026 | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Somalia, Fed. Rep. | 5.9% | 2026 | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 20.8% |
| South Africa | 3.9% | 2026 | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% |
| South Korea | 2.5% | 2026 | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% |
| South Sudan | 14.0% | 2026 | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Spain | 3.0% | 2026 | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% |
| Sri Lanka | -0.4% | 2024 | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| St. Kitts and Nevis | 2.2% | 2026 | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.3% |
| St. Lucia | 2.5% | 2026 | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% |
| St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 0.9% | 2026 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| Sudan | 75.1% | 2026 | 50.0% | 35.7% | 0.6% | -5.0% |
| Suriname | 11.8% | 2026 | 14.5% | 18.1% | 21.7% | 30.8% |
| Sweden | 1.5% | 2026 | 1.2% | -0.3% | -1.9% | -5.0% |
| Switzerland | 0.5% | 2026 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% |
| Syria | 13.4% | 2019 | 20.6% | 38.1% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Taiwan | 1.5% | 2026 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tajikistan | 4.0% | 2026 | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% |
| Tanzania | 4.0% | 2026 | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% |
| Thailand | 0.9% | 2026 | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.8% |
| Timor-Leste | 2.1% | 2026 | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 13.1% |
| Togo | 2.8% | 2026 | 4.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 19.2% |
| Tonga | 3.8% | 2026 | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% |
| Trinidad and Tobago | 1.8% | 2026 | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% |
| Tunisia | 6.5% | 2026 | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 14.8% |
| Turkmenistan | 3.9% | 2026 | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.1% |
| Tuvalu | 3.1% | 2026 | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.6% |
| Türkiye | 28.6% | 2026 | 28.1% | 19.3% | 10.5% | -5.0% |
| Uganda | 4.0% | 2026 | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% |
| Ukraine | 6.1% | 2026 | 3.1% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| United Arab Emirates | 2.5% | 2026 | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 10.6% |
| United Kingdom | 3.2% | 2026 | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| United States | 3.2% | 2026 | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% |
| Uruguay | 4.0% | 2026 | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | -0.6% |
| Uzbekistan | 7.0% | 2026 | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | -5.0% |
| Vanuatu | 4.1% | 2026 | 5.2% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 20.4% |
| Venezuela | 387.4% | 2026 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Vietnam | 4.9% | 2026 | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 15.6% |
| West Bank and Gaza | 53.7% | 2024 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Yemen, Rep. | 26.5% | 2026 | 29.0% | 36.1% | 43.3% | 50.0% |
| Zambia | 9.0% | 2026 | 7.1% | 0.2% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| Zimbabwe | 8.0% | 2026 | 31.1% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
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Inflation uses a exponential smoothing model with a 6-year lookback, 70% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
