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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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Briefing · labour

Labour markets: where the data is diverging

23 labour markets signals are diverging right now; 16 moving against their own trend; 7 sitting far from the global norm — led by Sudan.

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In short

  • ›Sudan — Unemployment is well above the global norm (61.3%).
  • ›Morocco — Unemployment is moving sharply against its own recent trend (12.2%).
  • ›Belize — Unemployment is moving sharply against its own recent trend (2.6%).
  • ›Switzerland — Unemployment is moving sharply against its own recent trend (3.0%).

Supporting signals

The data behind this note

  • 1Sudan — Unemployment is well above the global normpeerUnemployment61.3%▲+7.9σ
  • 2Morocco — Unemployment is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumUnemployment12.2%▲+3.2pp
  • 3Belize — Unemployment is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumUnemployment2.6%▼−6.26pp
  • 4Switzerland — Unemployment is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumUnemployment3.0%▼−1.87pp
  • 5Eswatini — Unemployment is well above the global normpeerUnemployment34.2%▲+3.95σ
  • 6South Africa — Unemployment is well above the global normpeerUnemployment32.5%▲+3.7σ
  • 7Philippines — Unemployment is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumUnemployment4.7%▲+2.47pp
  • 8Indonesia — Unemployment is moving sharply against its own recent trendmomentumUnemployment4.9%▲+1.66pp

Generated from current observations and the signal engine. Describes movement in the data — not a forecast or investment advice.