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Indicators/Unemployment rate

labour · indicator

Unemployment rate

unemployment_rate

Share of the labour force that is unemployed.

Unit
percent
Display
percent
Cadence
annual
Source
World Bank WDI
Latest global
4.8%

Global · 2025

Next global forecast
4.4%

Baseline · 2026

How it’s forecast

Unemployment uses a linear trend model with a 6-year lookback, 55% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.

Why it matters

Lower readings are generally healthier for this metric.

Trajectory

Global history & forecast

Before consensus

Who’s diverging

Countries whose latest reading deviates most from their own recent trend.

  • 1Morocco12.2%▲+3.2pp
  • 2Belize2.6%▼−6.26pp
  • 3Switzerland3.0%▼−1.87pp
  • 4Philippines4.7%▲+2.47pp
  • 5Indonesia4.9%▲+1.66pp
  • 6Denmark2.9%▼−2.63pp

Rankings

Highest current readings

Qatar
0.1%
Cambodia
0.3%
Niger
0.4%
Burundi
0.9%
Thailand
1.0%
Chad
1.1%
Andorra
1.1%
Bahrain
1.1%

By country

Scenario paths — top economies

Observed history with a baseline / optimistic / pessimistic forecast for the largest current readings.

Qatar0.1%
Cambodia0.3%
Niger0.4%
Burundi0.9%
Thailand1.0%
Chad1.1%

Forecast

Latest values & forecast horizons

Per-country latest reading and baseline forecast across horizons.

CountryLatestYear1y3y5y10y
Afghanistan13.4%202513.7%14.5%15.2%17.1%
Albania8.7%20268.3%7.5%6.8%4.9%
Algeria11.6%202511.1%10.0%8.9%6.2%
Andorra1.1%20260.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Angola14.1%202513.6%12.5%11.5%8.9%
Argentina7.2%20267.0%6.7%6.4%5.6%
Armenia12.8%202612.4%11.5%10.6%8.5%
Aruba4.3%20263.6%2.2%0.8%0.0%
Australia4.2%20264.1%4.0%3.8%3.4%
Austria5.7%20265.6%5.5%5.4%5.1%
Azerbaijan5.3%20265.2%4.9%4.7%4.1%
Bahamas, The9.4%20269.2%8.7%8.2%7.1%
Bahrain1.1%20251.0%0.7%0.4%0.0%
Bangladesh3.8%20253.3%2.4%1.6%0.0%
Barbados6.8%20266.1%4.8%3.5%0.1%
Belarus2.9%20262.7%2.4%2.1%1.3%
Belgium6.2%20266.2%6.3%6.3%6.5%
Belize2.6%20261.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Benin1.6%20251.6%1.6%1.5%1.5%
Bhutan3.2%20252.8%1.8%0.9%0.0%
Bolivia4.5%20264.4%4.1%3.9%3.2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina12.6%202612.1%11.2%10.3%7.9%
Botswana24.5%202525.0%26.1%27.2%30.0%
Brazil6.8%20265.6%3.1%0.7%0.0%
Brunei4.7%20264.7%4.6%4.6%4.4%
Bulgaria3.4%20263.1%2.5%1.9%0.3%
Burkina Faso3.5%20253.2%2.7%2.2%0.9%
Burundi0.9%20250.9%0.8%0.8%0.6%
Cabo Verde8.5%20267.7%6.1%4.5%0.5%
Cambodia0.3%20250.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%
Cameroon3.6%20253.5%3.4%3.2%2.9%
Canada6.5%20266.5%6.6%6.6%6.7%
Central African Republic6.3%20256.2%6.0%5.9%5.5%
Chad1.1%20250.9%0.7%0.4%0.0%
Channel Islands6.2%20256.1%5.8%5.6%5.0%
Chile8.1%20268.0%7.8%7.5%7.0%
China5.1%20265.1%5.2%5.3%5.6%
Colombia9.0%20268.1%6.3%4.5%0.1%
Comoros3.8%20253.7%3.4%3.1%2.4%
Congo19.9%202519.3%18.3%17.2%14.6%
Costa Rica7.0%20265.4%2.2%0.0%0.0%
Croatia4.6%20264.0%2.8%1.6%0.0%
Cuba1.7%20251.6%1.4%1.2%0.7%
Cyprus4.6%20264.0%2.8%1.6%0.0%
Czechia3.0%20263.1%3.2%3.4%3.8%
Côte d'Ivoire2.3%20252.3%2.1%2.0%1.6%
DR Congo4.4%20254.2%3.8%3.4%2.4%
Denmark2.9%20262.7%2.3%1.9%0.8%
Djibouti26.0%202525.6%24.9%24.1%22.2%
Dominican Republic5.3%20264.9%4.1%3.4%1.4%
Ecuador3.1%20262.9%2.4%1.9%0.7%
Egypt7.4%20267.4%7.4%7.5%7.6%
El Salvador4.3%20264.3%4.4%4.4%4.6%
Equatorial Guinea8.3%20258.2%8.1%7.9%7.4%
Eritrea6.0%20255.9%5.7%5.4%4.9%
Estonia7.3%20267.7%8.6%9.5%11.6%
Eswatini34.2%202534.4%34.7%35.0%35.8%
Ethiopia3.3%20253.2%2.9%2.6%1.9%
Fiji5.0%20265.0%4.9%4.8%4.6%
Finland9.6%202610.2%11.3%12.4%15.1%
France7.9%20267.9%8.0%8.0%8.2%
French Polynesia11.7%202511.4%10.8%10.3%8.9%
Gabon20.2%202519.9%19.4%18.8%17.5%
Gambia, The6.5%20256.7%6.9%7.2%7.8%
Georgia13.9%202614.2%14.9%15.6%17.3%
Germany3.9%20264.0%4.2%4.4%4.9%
Ghana3.0%20252.9%2.8%2.7%2.4%
Greece7.4%20266.0%3.2%0.4%0.0%
Guam5.6%20255.4%5.1%4.8%3.9%
Guatemala2.6%20252.6%2.5%2.4%2.3%
Guinea5.2%20255.0%4.6%4.3%3.4%
Guinea-Bissau2.7%20252.6%2.5%2.4%2.0%
Guyana12.0%202511.3%9.8%8.4%4.9%
Haiti14.9%202514.8%14.5%14.2%13.4%
Honduras6.8%20266.2%5.0%3.8%0.7%
Hong Kong3.3%20262.9%2.1%1.3%0.0%
Hungary4.2%20264.3%4.6%4.8%5.4%
Iceland4.2%20263.9%3.4%2.8%1.5%
India4.9%20264.6%4.1%3.6%2.3%
Indonesia4.9%20265.0%5.3%5.6%6.2%
Iran9.2%20269.1%9.0%8.8%8.4%
Iraq15.5%202515.4%15.1%14.9%14.3%
Ireland4.8%20264.6%4.2%3.8%2.7%
Israel3.2%20263.0%2.5%2.0%0.8%
Italy6.0%20265.3%4.0%2.6%0.0%
Jamaica3.3%20252.6%1.3%0.0%0.0%
Japan2.5%20262.4%2.3%2.2%1.9%
Jordan21.3%202621.4%21.5%21.6%22.0%
Kazakhstan4.6%20264.5%4.2%3.9%3.1%
Kenya5.4%20255.4%5.3%5.2%5.0%
Kuwait2.2%20251.9%1.4%0.9%0.0%
Kyrgyz Republic4.0%20263.7%3.2%2.6%1.3%
Laos1.2%20250.9%0.5%0.0%0.0%
Latvia6.7%20266.6%6.3%6.1%5.5%
Lebanon11.0%202311.0%11.0%11.0%11.0%
Lesotho16.3%202515.9%14.9%14.0%11.7%
Liberia2.9%20252.6%2.1%1.6%0.3%
Libya18.8%202518.6%18.2%17.7%16.7%
Liechtenstein3.9%20264.1%4.6%5.1%6.3%
Lithuania6.5%20266.5%6.4%6.4%6.3%
Luxembourg5.9%20266.1%6.6%7.1%8.2%
Macao1.7%20261.6%1.5%1.3%0.9%
Madagascar3.0%20253.0%2.8%2.6%2.3%
Malawi5.1%20254.9%4.6%4.4%3.6%
Malaysia3.0%20262.8%2.3%1.8%0.5%
Maldives4.5%20254.3%3.9%3.5%2.5%
Mali2.8%20252.7%2.3%1.9%1.1%
Malta3.0%20262.8%2.5%2.2%1.3%
Mauritania10.3%202510.1%9.8%9.4%8.5%
Mauritius5.9%20265.6%4.9%4.3%2.7%
Mexico2.7%20262.5%2.0%1.5%0.3%
Moldova3.8%20264.3%5.2%6.2%8.6%
Mongolia5.0%20264.5%3.6%2.6%0.3%
Montenegro13.6%202512.6%10.7%8.8%4.1%
Morocco12.2%202612.4%12.8%13.2%14.3%
Mozambique6.6%20257.0%7.6%8.3%10.0%
Myanmar3.0%20253.1%3.3%3.5%4.0%
Namibia19.3%202518.9%18.1%17.2%15.2%
Nepal10.5%20259.9%8.9%7.8%5.2%
Netherlands4.1%20264.1%4.2%4.2%4.3%
New Caledonia11.2%202510.8%10.0%9.3%7.3%
New Zealand5.4%20265.8%6.6%7.5%9.5%
Nicaragua2.7%20262.2%1.3%0.4%0.0%
Niger0.4%20250.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Nigeria3.1%20252.5%1.3%0.1%0.0%
North Korea3.5%20253.5%3.5%3.4%3.3%
North Macedonia11.5%202610.7%9.0%7.3%3.2%
Norway4.2%20264.3%4.5%4.7%5.3%
Oman3.3%20253.4%3.7%4.0%4.8%
Pakistan6.9%20267.0%7.2%7.4%7.9%
Panama10.4%202610.5%10.7%10.9%11.5%
Papua New Guinea2.6%20252.5%2.3%2.2%1.7%
Paraguay5.2%20264.7%3.8%2.8%0.5%
Peru6.3%20266.6%7.1%7.6%8.8%
Philippines4.7%20264.9%5.2%5.5%6.2%
Poland3.4%20263.4%3.5%3.6%3.7%
Portugal5.9%20265.8%5.6%5.3%4.8%
Puerto Rico (US)6.0%20265.7%5.2%4.6%3.3%
Qatar0.1%20250.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
Romania6.0%20266.1%6.3%6.4%6.9%
Russia2.4%20261.9%0.9%0.0%0.0%
Rwanda11.4%202510.8%9.8%8.7%6.1%
Samoa5.0%20254.5%3.5%2.4%0.0%
San Marino4.4%20264.1%3.4%2.7%1.1%
Sao Tome and Principe9.1%20259.0%8.8%8.5%7.9%
Saudi Arabia3.0%20252.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Senegal2.7%20252.6%2.3%2.0%1.2%
Serbia8.8%20268.5%7.9%7.3%5.9%
Seychelles2.6%20262.5%2.4%2.2%1.9%
Sierra Leone3.2%20253.1%2.9%2.7%2.2%
Singapore2.0%20261.5%0.6%0.0%0.0%
Slovakia5.8%20265.6%5.1%4.6%3.4%
Slovenia3.9%20263.7%3.3%2.9%2.0%
Solomon Islands1.4%20251.6%1.8%2.1%2.7%
Somalia, Fed. Rep.18.9%202518.8%18.6%18.3%17.6%
South Africa32.5%202632.2%31.6%31.1%29.6%
South Korea2.8%20262.7%2.4%2.1%1.5%
South Sudan12.4%202312.3%12.1%11.9%11.5%
Spain9.8%20268.8%6.9%4.9%0.0%
Sri Lanka4.0%20253.7%3.2%2.7%1.4%
St. Lucia9.5%20256.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
St. Vincent and the Grenadines18.0%202517.4%16.2%15.0%12.0%
Sudan61.3%202640.0%40.0%40.0%40.0%
Suriname9.0%20269.0%9.1%9.1%9.3%
Sweden8.6%20268.7%8.9%9.1%9.6%
Switzerland3.0%20262.8%2.4%1.9%0.9%
Syria13.6%202513.2%12.5%11.8%10.0%
Taiwan3.4%20263.3%3.1%2.8%2.3%
Tajikistan6.9%20256.8%6.5%6.2%5.5%
Tanzania1.6%20251.5%1.4%1.3%1.0%
Thailand1.0%20261.0%0.9%0.8%0.6%
Timor-Leste1.6%20251.3%0.9%0.4%0.0%
Togo2.0%20251.9%1.8%1.7%1.3%
Tonga2.0%20251.9%1.6%1.4%0.8%
Trinidad and Tobago4.2%20264.1%3.8%3.6%2.9%
Tunisia15.1%202514.6%13.7%12.7%10.3%
Turkmenistan4.3%20254.2%4.1%3.9%3.6%
Türkiye8.3%20267.6%6.2%4.8%1.2%
Uganda2.7%20252.5%2.1%1.7%0.6%
Ukraine10.2%20269.0%6.5%4.1%0.0%
United Arab Emirates2.2%20251.8%1.0%0.2%0.0%
United Kingdom5.6%20265.8%6.2%6.6%7.6%
United States4.4%20264.3%4.2%4.0%3.6%
Uruguay8.0%20267.8%7.3%6.9%5.8%
Uzbekistan4.3%20264.2%3.9%3.6%2.9%
Vanuatu5.1%20255.2%5.6%5.9%6.7%
Venezuela5.3%20254.8%3.9%3.0%0.6%
Vietnam2.1%20262.1%2.0%1.9%1.6%
Virgin Islands (U.S.)11.4%202510.8%9.6%8.4%5.3%
West Bank and Gaza24.4%202224.3%24.0%23.7%22.9%
Yemen, Rep.17.3%202517.1%16.7%16.2%15.2%
Zambia5.9%20256.0%6.0%6.1%6.3%
Zimbabwe9.3%20259.4%9.5%9.6%10.0%

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Sources

Methodology & source

Unemployment uses a linear trend model with a 6-year lookback, 55% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.

World Bank WDIMethodology
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