Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Micronesia, Fed. Sts.: forward projections across 10 macro indicators, horizons 1984, 1986, 1988, 1993, 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -0.99 | 11.43 | -13.42 | -3.54 – 1.56 |
| 2029 | -5.18 | 16.34 | -26.7 | -9.82 – -0.54 |
| 2031 | -9.36 | 18.42 | -30 | -15.78 – -2.95 |
| 2036 | -19.83 | 19.46 | -30 | -30 – -8.64 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed26.94(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25.94 | 39.02 | 14.61 | 23.66 – 28.23 |
| 2027 | 23.95 | 46.6 | 4.33 | 19.57 – 28.34 |
| 2029 | 21.96 | 51.19 | 0 | 16.03 – 27.9 |
| 2034 | 16.99 | 58.33 | 0 | 8.36 – 25.61 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed471.4m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 540.8m | 575.6m | 510.6m | 524m – 557.6m |
| 2029 | 590.2m | 650.6m | 537.9m | 546.6m – 633.9m |
| 2031 | 639.7m | 717.6m | 572.1m | 567m – 712.3m |
| 2036 | 763.3m | 873.5m | 667.7m | 604.9m – 921.6m |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed0.72(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0.69 | 7.1 | -4.87 | -0.4 – 1.77 |
| 2029 | 0.68 | 11.78 | -8.94 | -1.22 – 2.58 |
| 2031 | 0.68 | 12 | -10 | -1.79 – 3.14 |
| 2036 | 0.66 | 12 | -10 | -2.88 – 4.2 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.2k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.9k | 6.7k | 5.2k | 5.7k – 6.1k |
| 2029 | 6.8k | 8.2k | 5.6k | 6.3k – 7.3k |
| 2031 | 7.8k | 9.6k | 6.2k | 6.9k – 8.7k |
| 2036 | 10.1k | 12.7k | 7.9k | 8k – 12.2k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed7.5(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.64 | 8.48 | 2.36 | 5.11 – 6.17 |
| 2029 | 1.91 | 6.84 | 0 | 1.06 – 2.76 |
| 2031 | 0 | 6.36 | 0 | 0 – 1.06 |
| 2036 | 0 | 8.99 | 0 | 0 – 1.54 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed71.49(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 71.58 | 76.52 | 66.64 | 69.36 – 73.8 |
| 2027 | 71.76 | 80.32 | 63.21 | 66.45 – 77.07 |
| 2029 | 71.95 | 82.99 | 60.9 | 63.78 – 80.12 |
| 2034 | 72.41 | 88.03 | 56.79 | 57.39 – 87.43 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.41(2022)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.41 | 6.42 | 0.18 | 2.69 – 4.13 |
| 2029 | 3.41 | 8.63 | -2.19 | 2.09 – 4.73 |
| 2031 | 3.41 | 10.15 | -3.81 | 1.64 – 5.17 |
| 2036 | 3.41 | 12.94 | -5 | 0.75 – 6.07 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed44.94(1983)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1984 | 44.94 | 47.3 | 42.9 | 43.55 – 46.33 |
| 1986 | 44.94 | 47.3 | 42.9 | 41.62 – 48.27 |
| 1988 | 44.94 | 47.3 | 42.9 | 39.84 – 50.04 |
| 1993 | 44.94 | 47.3 | 42.9 | 35.62 – 54.26 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed113.2k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 98.6k | 109.7k | 88.3k | 95.5k – 101.6k |
| 2029 | 98.6k | 117.8k | 80.8k | 91.3k – 105.9k |
| 2031 | 98.6k | 123.3k | 75.6k | 87.4k – 109.8k |
| 2036 | 98.6k | 133.6k | 66.1k | 78.1k – 119k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/FSM · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
