Forecast
The prediction engine's forward view per country — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, for every macro indicator we forecast. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations, generated from observed history. Pick a country, or read the JSON at GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
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United States: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval.
| Year | Baseline |
|---|
| Optimistic |
|---|
| Pessimistic |
|---|
| Conf. band |
|---|
| 2027 | -3.89 | -2.92 | -4.86 | -4.15 – -3.63 |
| 2029 | -4.27 | -2.59 | -5.95 | -4.82 – -3.72 |
| 2031 | -4.65 | -2.48 | -6.82 | -5.46 – -3.83 |
| 2036 | -5.59 | -2.53 | -8.66 | -7.11 – -4.07 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10.95 | 12.62 | 9.5 | 10.53 – 11.36 |
| 2027 | 10.63 | 13.52 | 8.12 | 9.7 – 11.55 |
| 2029 | 10.3 | 14.04 | 7.07 | 8.95 – 11.66 |
| 2034 | 9.5 | 14.78 | 4.93 | 7.23 – 11.78 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 33.7T | 35.5T | 32.2T | 32.7T – 34.8T |
| 2029 | 37.2T | 40.2T | 34.6T | 34.4T – 39.9T |
| 2031 | 40.6T | 44.5T | 37.3T | 36T – 45.2T |
| 2036 | 49.2T | 54.7T | 44.5T | 39T – 59.4T |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.97 | 5 | -0.65 | 1.44 – 2.51 |
| 2029 | 1.23 | 6.48 | -3.31 | 0.3 – 2.17 |
| 2031 | 0.49 | 7.26 | -5.38 | -0.72 – 1.7 |
| 2036 | -1.37 | 8.21 | -9.67 | -3.18 – 0.45 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 98k | 103.2k | 93.5k | 95k – 101k |
| 2029 | 107.2k | 116.2k | 99.4k | 99.2k – 115.1k |
| 2031 | 116.3k | 128k | 106.3k | 103.1k – 129.5k |
| 2036 | 139.3k | 155.7k | 125k | 110.4k – 168.1k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 127.69 | 142.95 | 110.09 | 123.3 – 132.08 |
| 2029 | 131.47 | 157.89 | 100.98 | 121.09 – 141.84 |
| 2031 | 135.25 | 169.36 | 95.89 | 119.18 – 151.32 |
| 2036 | 144.7 | 192.94 | 89.03 | 114.12 – 175.27 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14.19 | 16.19 | 12.19 | 13.66 – 14.72 |
| 2027 | 14.03 | 17.49 | 10.56 | 12.82 – 15.23 |
| 2029 | 13.86 | 18.34 | 9.39 | 12.07 – 15.66 |
| 2034 | 13.45 | 19.78 | 7.12 | 10.33 – 16.58 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.48 | 8.22 | -1.6 | 2.37 – 4.58 |
| 2029 | 4.18 | 12.39 | -4.62 | 2.16 – 6.2 |
| 2031 | 4.88 | 15.47 | -5 | 2.14 – 7.62 |
| 2036 | 6.63 | 21.61 | -5 | 2.24 – 11.01 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21.74 | 22.88 | 20.75 | 21.06 – 22.41 |
| 2027 | 21.83 | 22.97 | 20.84 | 20.21 – 23.44 |
| 2029 | 21.92 | 23.07 | 20.92 | 19.43 – 24.41 |
| 2034 | 22.15 | 23.49 | 20.99 | 17.56 – 26.75 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 342.2m | 358.4m | 327.2m | 331.6m – 352.8m |
| 2029 | 343.4m | 359.6m | 328.3m | 318m – 368.8m |
| 2031 | 344.5m | 360.8m | 329.4m | 305.4m – 383.7m |
| 2036 | 347.4m | 363.8m | 332.2m | 275.4m – 419.5m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 6.55 | -1.42 | 1.4 – 2.6 |
| 2027 | 1.91 | 9.8 | -4.01 | 0.83 – 2.99 |
| 2029 | 1.82 | 12 | -5.82 | 0.4 – 3.24 |
| 2034 | 1.6 | 15 | -9.2 | -0.46 – 3.65 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.32 | 5.82 | 2.82 | 4.02 – 4.62 |
| 2029 | 4.17 | 6.76 | 1.57 | 3.57 – 4.76 |
| 2031 | 4.01 | 7.36 | 0.66 | 3.18 – 4.85 |
| 2036 | 3.62 | 8.37 | 0 | 2.32 – 4.93 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
