Forecast

Forward macro projections

The prediction engine's forward view per country — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, for every macro indicator we forecast. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations, generated from observed history. Pick a country, or read the JSON at GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

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Open a forecast

A country we hold no projections for returns an honest not-covered state.

Afghanistan Albania Algeria American Samoa Andorra Angola Antigua and Barbuda Argentina Armenia Aruba Australia Austria Azerbaijan Bahamas, The Bahrain

Reliability

Which forecasts have been most reliable

Indicators and countries ranked by their realized track record — forecasts we published, scored against the actuals that have since landed. Lower error = more reliable. Backtested replays are ranked separately below, never blended in.

Realized track recordDerived949 matured predictions · through 2025 · lower error = more reliable

Most reliable by indicator

#	Indicator	MAPE	Typical miss	n
1	Population Total	2%	±15,241,136.56	67
2	Gdp Per Capita Current Usd	5%	±590.88	47
3	GDP (current US$)	5%	±458,172,398,024.72

Featured

United States — forecast

A live example. Open any country above for its own projections.

Forecast heldDerivedledger 12fb228

Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection

1.97

United States: forward projections across 18 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed

Most reliable by country

#	Country	MAPE	Typical miss	n
1	IDN	1%	±0.12	4
2	ALB	2%	±0.41	4
3	BEN	2%	±0.38	4
4	South Korea	3%	±0.74	4
5	PRY	3%	±0.68	4
6	EAS	3%	±187,884,640,917.47	7
7	IBT	3%	±154,384,529,955.42	7
8	LMY	3%	±133,666,199,927.25	7
9	MIC	3%	±112,131,226,868.38	7
10	SVN	3%	±1.14	4
11	IBD	3%	±114,906,931,235.87	7
12	MYS	4%	±0.91	4
13	EAP	4%	±78,778,037,062.62	7
14	TEA	4%	±78,681,423,475.36	7
15	Slovakia	4%	±0.16	4
16	IDX	4%	±10,330,974,586.87	8
17	IDA	5%	±34,542,898,897.87	8
18	KIR	5%	±2.54	3
19	Tanzania	5%	±1.07	4
20	Vietnam	5%	±3.82	4
21	NOR	6%	±1.52	4
22	PER	6%	±0.62	4
23	BIH	6%	±0.42	3
24	UKR	6%	±2.14	3
25	FRA	6%	±0.51	4
26	MLI	6%	±0.87	4
27	HPC	6%	±10,991,503,657.81	8
28	CHN	6%	±0.59	3
29	Brazil	7%	±0.53	4
30	GTM	7%	±0.57	4
31	LCN	7%	±11,006,542,892.92	8
32	NPL	7%	±0.89	4
33	Côte d'Ivoire	7%	±1.43	4
34	THA	7%	±0.86	4
35	SAS	8%	±15,742,073,580.58	8
36	TSA	8%	±15,742,073,580.58	8
37	KHM	8%	±3.24	4
38	CPV	8%	±0.44	3
39	TLA	8%	±10,443,803,017.2	8
40	MAR	8%	±0.96	4
41	POL	8%	±1.42	4
42	LTE	8%	±158,289,889,678.34	7
43	TMN	9%	±15,698,221,185.73	8
44	SYC	9%	±5.82	3
45	NAC	9%	±147,060,670,201.65	5
46	MNA	9%	±15,179,875,847.03	8
47	LDC	9%	±7,749,876,085.61	8
48	EAR	10%	±14,162,536,263.57	8
49	SSF	10%	±31,054,143,478.05	8
50	TSS	10%	±31,054,143,478.05	8
51	MNG	11%	±3.33	4
52	PST	11%	±395,167,015,922.91	7
53	IDB	11%	±32,282,565,781.45	6
54	IMN	11%	±7,363,109.2	4
55	LAC	12%	±2,910,785,913.71	8
56	BFA	12%	±2.23	4
57	CYP	12%	±2.78	4
58	TEC	12%	±77,060,282,322.22	8
59	KEN	12%	±1.25	4
60	PSS	12%	±75,190,996.76	5
61	ECA	12%	±24,425,184,696.97	8
62	OED	13%	±415,344,675,582.12	7
63	BGR	13%	±2.11	4
64	TUN	13%	±2.4	3
65	PRE	13%	±27,498,874,656.05	6
66	CEB	13%	±20,823,441,644.46	8
67	TGO	13%	±2.08	4
68	UZB	13%	±2.68	4
69	IND	14%	±1.32	4
70	DJI	14%	±7.94	4
71	ECS	16%	±255,986,812,220.69	8
72	PAK	16%	±0.7	4
73	MUS	16%	±3.08	4
74	MLT	16%	±0.5	4
75	AFE	16%	±9,842,381,055.96	9
76	SWE	16%	±1.44	4
77	PLW	16%	±7.05	3
78	SSA	17%	±1.95	4
79	GIN	17%	±2.6	4
80	DZA	17%	±3	4
81	SRB	17%	±0.97	4
82	LUX	17%	±12.55	4
83	Venezuela	17%	±1.43	3
84	DR Congo	18%	±5.6	4
85	UGA	18%	±2.24	4
86	CYM	18%	±40,973,776.24	4
87	CSS	18%	±132,810,570.39	5
88	PHL	18%	±1	4
89	TKM	18%	±2.11	4
90	SLE	19%	±2.73	4
91	SEN	19%	±5.07	4
92	TON	19%	±2.36	4
93	XKX	19%	±112,200,239.54	7
94	NIC	19%	±2.24	4
95	MNE	19%	±2.33	4
96	PRT	19%	±1.35	4
97	LTU	19%	±1.1	4
98	WSM	19%	±3.07	4
99	LKA	20%	±926,723,564.26	9
100	ROU	21%	±0.64	4
101	GNB	21%	±2.03	4
102	TJK	22%	±2.89	4
103	ESP	23%	±0.68	4
104	Hong Kong	23%	±24.8	4
105	CRI	24%	±1.26	4
106	LSO	24%	±2.96	4
107	HRV	24%	±2.31	4
108	AFW	24%	±26,641,953,090.48	6
109	DNK	24%	±2.64	4
110	EUU	24%	±150,397,003,864.53	8
111	SLV	25%	±2.69	4
112	SXM	26%	±943,467.98	4
113	MOZ	27%	±3.02	3
114	Canada	27%	±0.94	4
115	GEO	27%	±2.25	4
116	FIN	28%	±0.7	4
117	OSS	29%	±1,480,624,378.61	8
118	CMR	29%	±1.43	4
119	EMU	30%	±137,051,773,097.04	8
120	GMB	30%	±8.42	4
121	HUN	31%	±1.66	4
122	NLD	31%	±1.57	4
123	LVA	31%	±2.27	4
124	SGP	31%	±8.03	4
125	Macao	31%	±3.78	4
126	HTI	32%	±2.06	4
127	MKD	32%	±3.22	3
128	KGZ	32%	±11.25	4
129	LBY	32%	±6.12	4
130	EST	33%	±1.37	4
131	IRL	33%	±5.94	4
132	ARB	33%	±11,600,259,336.43	7
133	BTN	33%	±4.96	4
134	SST	34%	±1,718,877,029.56	7
135	CHE	34%	±3.42	4
136	Czechia	35%	±1.53	4
137	RWA	35%	±5.56	4
138	ARG	36%	±1.63	4
139	Türkiye	36%	±2.28	4
140	Moldova	37%	±2.74	4
141	ETH	38%	±5.42	4
142	Egypt	38%	±3.88	4
143	AFG	41%	±4.69	4
144	ARM	41%	±14.84	4
145	United Kingdom	41%	±0.8	4
146	CHL	42%	±0.94	4
147	HND	43%	±1.79	4
148	GNQ	45%	±7.53	4
149	Russia	45%	±1.85	4
150	URY	45%	±1.34	4
151	MEX	46%	±2.23	4
152	COM	46%	±1.52	4
153	DEU	48%	±0.88	4
154	AZE	48%	±1.56	4
155	BLR	48%	±5.86	4
156	Iran	52%	±3.64	4
157	TCD	52%	±1.98	4
158	Congo	55%	±2.85	4
159	LBN	57%	±9.82	3
160	BEL	57%	±2.05	4
161	BGD	58%	±2	4
162	KWT	60%	±3.49	4
163	AUS	62%	±0.55	4
164	AUT	66%	±1.66	4
165	NER	71%	±5.78	4
166	MRT	72%	±1.95	4
167	BWA	73%	±4.47	4
168	ECU	73%	±1.9	4
169	GAB	77%	±4.95	4
170	MWI	78%	±1.06	3
171	ISR	86%	±1.71	4
172	ITA	87%	±1.29	4
173	SOM	88%	±2.83	4
174	NAM	94%	±3.89	4
175	GRC	96%	±3.11	4
176	PSE	102%	±518,384,578.87	8
177	DOM	129%	±1.28	4
178	VUT	133%	±12.78	4
179	SDN	139%	±1.32	3
180	PRI	142%	±1.57	4
181	SAU	154%	±2.3	4
182	MEA	176%	±21,605,773,453.12	6
183	CAF	178%	±2.77	4
184	ISL	305%	±1.78	4
185	AGO	556%	±6.12	3
186	Brunei	677%	±5.43	4
187	South Africa	703%	±1.67	4
188	COL	1906%	±0.83	4
189	MDG	20967%	±1.16	4

Realized errors from the rolling ledger (past predictions vs the actuals that landed). A track record, not a guarantee of future accuracy; groups with too few matured predictions are omitted.

Backtested skill — separate, and not a track record

Backtested (as-if) — never publishedDerived62216 replayed forecasts · through 2026 · lower error = more reliable

Most reliable by indicator

#	Indicator	MAPE	Typical miss	n
1	Consumer Confidence	4%	±3.85	444
2	Population Total	6%	±11,265,636.87	5968
3	Reserves Excl Gold Usd	14%	±8,239,315,152.68	125
4	Reserves Total Usd	17%	±23,543,698,518.84	125
5	Government Bond Yield 10y	19%	±0.65	22
6	GDP (current US$)	21%	±431,575,338,224.96	5785
7	Gdp Per Capita Current Usd	23%	±3,757.85	5785
8	Imports Goods Services	23%	±8.94	5120
9	Investment Gfcf Gdp	28%	±5.13	4729
10	Exports Goods Services	30%	±9.08	5088
11	Govt debt / GDP	33%	±16.48	4285
12	Inflation Cpi Yoy Monthly	39%	±1.05	29
13	Unemployment	42%	±2.35	4788
14	Policy Rate	92%	±2.31	13
15	CPI inflation	248%	±10.48	4652
16	Current account / GDP	307%	±7.12	4249
17	Real GDP growth	333%	±6.24	5773
18	Productivity Growth	1231%	±5.47	5236

Most reliable by country

#	Country	MAPE	Typical miss	n
1	North Korea	2%	±155,461.97	44
2	VGB	5%	±1,985.26	24
3	GIB	6%	±2,247.23	24
4	NCL	25%	±225,114,541.09	155
5	MAF	30%	±4,881.02	25
6	EAP	30%	±151,588,166,657.94	212

Backtested errors — the model replayed on held-out history. These forecasts were never published in advance, so they are evidence of skill, not a track record, and may overstate real-world accuracy. Groups with too few scored replays are omitted.

· IMF DataMapper API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	-3.89	-2.92	-4.86	-4.15 – -3.63
2029	-4.27	-2.59	-5.95	-4.82 – -3.72
2031	-4.65	-2.48	-6.82	-5.46 – -3.83
2036	-5.59	-2.53	-8.66	-7.11 – -4.07

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed10.97(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	10.8	12.47	9.36	10.39 – 11.21
2027	10.46	13.34	7.97	9.55 – 11.38
2029	10.12	13.84	6.9	8.78 – 11.46
2034	9.27	14.52	4.72	7.04 – 11.51

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed30.8T(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	33.6T	35.4T	32.1T	32.6T – 34.7T
2029	36.8T	39.6T	34.3T	34.1T – 39.5T
2031	40T	43.6T	36.8T	35.4T – 44.5T
2036	47.9T	53.1T	43.4T	38T – 57.8T

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed2.16(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	1.97	5.06	-0.7	1.43 – 2.52
2029	1.22	6.57	-3.41	0.27 – 2.17
2031	0.47	7.37	-5.51	-0.76 – 1.7
2036	-1.41	8.35	-9.86	-3.26 – 0.45

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed90k(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	97.6k	102.8k	93.2k	94.6k – 100.7k
2029	106k	114.6k	98.6k	98.2k – 113.9k
2031	114.4k	125.4k	104.8k	101.4k – 127.4k
2036	135.4k	151k	121.8k	107.3k – 163.4k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Government bond yield (10 year)

Latest observed4.54(2026)· FRED API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	4.09	5.99	2.06	3.56 – 4.63
2029	3.56	6.85	0.05	2.58 – 4.54
2031	3.3	7.54	0	1.99 – 4.61
2036	3.09	9.09	0	1.12 – 5.07

Method: mean_reversion; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed125.8(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	127.69	142.95	110.09	123.3 – 132.08
2029	131.47	157.89	100.98	121.09 – 141.84
2031	135.25	169.36	95.89	119.18 – 151.32
2036	144.7	192.94	89.03	114.12 – 175.27

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed14.04(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	13.93	15.9	11.96	13.41 – 14.46
2027	13.72	17.13	10.31	12.54 – 14.9
2029	13.51	17.91	9.1	11.75 – 15.26
2034	12.97	19.2	6.74	9.94 – 16

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed2.95(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	3.48	8.22	-1.6	2.37 – 4.58
2029	4.18	12.39	-4.62	2.16 – 6.2
2031	4.88	15.47	-5	2.14 – 7.62
2036	6.63	21.61	-5	2.24 – 11.01

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation (monthly)

Latest observed4.17(2026)· FRED API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	3.87	8.54	-1.13	2.78 – 4.97
2029	3.59	11.68	-5	1.63 – 5.56
2031	3.49	13.93	-5	0.9 – 6.09
2036	3.44	18.2	-5	-0.38 – 7.26

Method: mean_reversion; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed21.35(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	21.37	22.5	20.4	20.71 – 22.04
2027	21.43	22.55	20.45	19.84 – 23.01
2029	21.48	22.61	20.5	19.04 – 23.92
2034	21.61	22.8	20.57	17.13 – 26.09

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Monetary policy rate

Latest observed3.63(2026)· FRED API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	3.34	6.51	-0.06	2.5 – 4.17
2029	2.99	8.48	-2	1.49 – 4.49
2031	2.82	9.91	-2	0.85 – 4.79
2036	2.68	12.71	-2	-0.22 – 5.58

Method: mean_reversion; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed341.8m(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	342.2m	358.4m	327.2m	331.6m – 352.8m
2029	343.5m	359.7m	328.4m	318.1m – 368.9m
2031	344.8m	361.1m	329.7m	305.6m – 383.9m
2036	348m	364.4m	332.7m	275.8m – 420.1m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed1.96(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2026	2.37	7	-1.1	1.76 – 2.99
2028	3.23	11.24	-2.78	2.07 – 4.38
2030	4.08	14.43	-3.68	2.46 – 5.7
2035	6.21	15	-4.76	3.39 – 9.04

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total reserves (excluding gold)

Latest observed243.3bn(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2026	250.1bn	322.4bn	177.7bn	235bn – 265.1bn
2028	269.7bn	395bn	144.3bn	237.5bn – 301.8bn
2030	289.3bn	451.1bn	127.5bn	241.4bn – 337.2bn
2035	338.3bn	567.1bn	109.5bn	249.1bn – 427.4bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Reserves in months of imports

Latest observed2.84(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2026	2.53	3.21	1.85	2.39 – 2.67
2028	2.17	3.34	0.99	1.88 – 2.45
2030	1.99	3.5	0.47	1.6 – 2.38
2035	1.84	3.99	0	1.22 – 2.47

Method: mean_reversion; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total reserves (including gold)

Latest observed1.4T(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2026	1.5T	1.8T	1.2T	1.5T – 1.6T
2028	1.9T	2.4T	1.4T	1.7T – 2T
2030	2.2T	2.9T	1.6T	1.9T – 2.5T
2035	3.1T	4T	2.2T	2.4T – 3.7T

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed4.2(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	4.32	5.82	2.82	4.02 – 4.62
2029	4.17	6.76	1.57	3.57 – 4.76
2031	4.01	7.36	0.66	3.18 – 4.85
2036	3.62	8.37	0	2.32 – 4.93

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-08-02 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.