Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Libya: forward projections across 11 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.59 | 30 | -23.43 | -1.98 – 9.17 |
| 2029 | 2.38 | 30 | -30 | -7.28 – 12.05 |
| 2031 | 1.17 | 30 | -30 | -11.25 – 13.59 |
| 2036 | -1.86 | 30 | -30 | -19.59 – 15.88 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed71.97(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 81.16 | 141.36 | 28.98 | 71.26 – 91.06 |
| 2027 | 99.54 | 150 | 9.17 | 79.86 – 119.21 |
| 2029 | 117.91 | 150 | 1.25 | 89.25 – 146.58 |
| 2034 | 150 | 150 | 0 | 98.8 – 150 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed48.5bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 53.1bn | 74.9bn | 34.2bn | 49.6bn – 56.5bn |
| 2029 | 54.8bn | 92.6bn | 22.1bn | 47.7bn – 61.9bn |
| 2031 | 56.6bn | 105.3bn | 14.3bn | 46.2bn – 66.9bn |
| 2036 | 60.9bn | 129.9bn | 1.1bn | 43bn – 78.9bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.9(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 7.85 | 12 | -10 | 0.84 – 12 |
| 2029 | 9.88 | 12 | -10 | -2.53 – 12 |
| 2031 | 11.91 | 12 | -10 | -4.45 – 12 |
| 2036 | 12 | 12 | -10 | -10 – 12 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.6k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 7k | 10.1k | 4.3k | 6.5k – 7.5k |
| 2029 | 7k | 12.4k | 2.4k | 6.1k – 8k |
| 2031 | 7.1k | 14k | 1.1k | 5.7k – 8.5k |
| 2036 | 7.3k | 17.1k | 0 | 4.9k – 9.6k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed56.85(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64.23 | 98.27 | 30.2 | 58 – 70.47 |
| 2027 | 79.01 | 137.96 | 20.06 | 66.2 – 91.82 |
| 2029 | 93.79 | 150 | 17.69 | 74.64 – 112.94 |
| 2034 | 130.73 | 150 | 23.11 | 93.34 – 150 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.13(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 14.03 | 21.7 | 5.81 | 12.1 – 15.96 |
| 2029 | 26.21 | 39.5 | 11.97 | 22 – 30.41 |
| 2031 | 38.39 | 50 | 20 | 31.51 – 45.26 |
| 2036 | 50 | 50 | 24 | 36.62 – 50 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed14.27(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14.84 | 21.97 | 8.66 | 13.58 – 16.1 |
| 2027 | 16.06 | 28.41 | 5.36 | 13.53 – 18.6 |
| 2029 | 17.28 | 33.23 | 3.46 | 13.62 – 20.94 |
| 2034 | 20.33 | 42.88 | 0.79 | 13.86 – 26.81 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed7.4m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 7.5m | 7.9m | 7.2m | 7.3m – 7.7m |
| 2029 | 7.6m | 8m | 7.3m | 7m – 8.2m |
| 2031 | 7.7m | 8m | 7.3m | 6.8m – 8.6m |
| 2036 | 7.9m | 8.3m | 7.5m | 6.3m – 9.5m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.06(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -1.16 | 15 | -10 | -9.42 – 7.1 |
| 2027 | -5.19 | 15 | -10 | -10 – 9.33 |
| 2029 | -9.22 | 15 | -10 | -10 – 9.94 |
| 2034 | -10 | 15 | -10 | -10 – 15 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed18.76(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18.56 | 19.47 | 17.65 | 17.98 – 19.13 |
| 2028 | 18.15 | 19.4 | 16.91 | 16.81 – 19.49 |
| 2030 | 17.75 | 19.35 | 16.14 | 15.73 – 19.76 |
| 2035 | 16.74 | 19.01 | 14.47 | 13.27 – 20.21 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/LBY · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
