Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Sri Lanka: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2034, 2035. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.76 | 5.23 | -1.71 | 1.02 – 2.49 |
| 2027 | 2.87 | 8.88 | -3.14 | 1.5 – 4.23 |
| 2029 | 3.98 | 11.74 | -3.78 | 2.08 – 5.88 |
| 2034 | 6.76 | 17.73 | -4.21 | 3.44 – 10.08 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed19.89(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19.82 | 26.33 | 14.18 | 18.57 – 21.07 |
| 2027 | 19.69 | 30.96 | 9.92 | 17.14 – 22.25 |
| 2029 | 19.56 | 34.11 | 6.95 | 15.92 – 23.2 |
| 2034 | 19.23 | 39.81 | 1.4 | 13.22 – 25.25 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed99bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 100.5bn | 119.9bn | 83.7bn | 96.6bn – 104.4bn |
| 2027 | 104.8bn | 138.4bn | 75.7bn | 95.8bn – 113.8bn |
| 2029 | 109.1bn | 152.5bn | 71.5bn | 95.2bn – 123bn |
| 2034 | 119.9bn | 181.2bn | 66.7bn | 93.4bn – 146.3bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.01(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8.74 | 12 | -5.47 | 5.87 – 11.61 |
| 2027 | 12 | 12 | -10 | 6.69 – 12 |
| 2029 | 12 | 12 | -10 | 4.93 – 12 |
| 2034 | 12 | 12 | -10 | 1.44 – 12 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.5k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.6k | 5.5k | 3.8k | 4.4k – 4.8k |
| 2027 | 4.8k | 6.3k | 3.4k | 4.4k – 5.2k |
| 2029 | 5k | 7k | 3.2k | 4.3k – 5.6k |
| 2034 | 5.5k | 8.3k | 3k | 4.2k – 6.7k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed100.8(2024)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 105.39 | 120.32 | 88.16 | 101.41 – 109.38 |
| 2027 | 114.58 | 140.44 | 84.74 | 105.1 – 124.06 |
| 2029 | 123.77 | 157.15 | 85.24 | 108.73 – 138.8 |
| 2034 | 146.73 | 193.95 | 92.25 | 115.99 – 177.47 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed22.51(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21.76 | 26.93 | 16.59 | 20.62 – 22.9 |
| 2027 | 20.25 | 29.21 | 11.3 | 17.91 – 22.6 |
| 2029 | 18.75 | 30.31 | 7.19 | 15.48 – 22.02 |
| 2034 | 14.99 | 31.33 | 0 | 10.09 – 19.89 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed-0.43(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -5 | 46.49 | -5 | -5 – 6.49 |
| 2027 | -5 | 50 | -5 | -5 – 15.01 |
| 2029 | -5 | 50 | -5 | -5 – 20.92 |
| 2034 | -5 | 50 | -5 | -5 – 31.9 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed18.79(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16.76 | 21.48 | 12.67 | 15.82 – 17.71 |
| 2027 | 11.81 | 19.98 | 4.73 | 10.08 – 13.55 |
| 2029 | 6.86 | 17.41 | 0 | 4.8 – 8.91 |
| 2034 | 0 | 14.92 | 0 | 0 – 2.29 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed21.9m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21.9m | 23m | 21m | 21.2m – 22.6m |
| 2027 | 21.8m | 22.8m | 20.8m | 20.2m – 23.4m |
| 2029 | 21.7m | 22.7m | 20.7m | 19.2m – 24.1m |
| 2034 | 21.3m | 22.3m | 20.4m | 16.9m – 25.7m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.24(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.35 | 15 | -10 | 0.23 – 4.48 |
| 2027 | 2.84 | 15 | -10 | -0.91 – 6.59 |
| 2029 | 3.33 | 15 | -10 | -1.6 – 8.27 |
| 2034 | 4.55 | 15 | -10 | -2.78 – 11.88 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.01(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.75 | 4.05 | 3.44 | 3.63 – 3.86 |
| 2028 | 3.23 | 3.76 | 2.7 | 2.99 – 3.47 |
| 2030 | 2.72 | 3.4 | 2.04 | 2.39 – 3.04 |
| 2035 | 1.43 | 2.39 | 0.46 | 1.05 – 1.8 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/LKA · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
