Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Lesotho: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2033, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -2.46 | 9.17 | -14.09 | -4.87 – -0.05 |
| 2029 | -0.58 | 19.57 | -20.72 | -4.73 – 3.58 |
| 2031 | 1.31 | 27.32 | -24.7 | -4.1 – 6.72 |
| 2036 | 6.02 | 30 | -30 | -2.45 – 14.49 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed42.92(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42.47 | 47.45 | 38.16 | 41.08 – 43.87 |
| 2026 | 41.58 | 50.2 | 34.1 | 38.35 – 44.81 |
| 2028 | 40.68 | 51.81 | 31.03 | 35.84 – 45.53 |
| 2033 | 38.44 | 54.18 | 24.79 | 30.04 – 46.84 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.3bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.2bn | 3.8bn | 2.6bn | 3bn – 3.3bn |
| 2029 | 3.6bn | 4.7bn | 2.7bn | 3.3bn – 3.9bn |
| 2031 | 4.1bn | 5.5bn | 2.8bn | 3.6bn – 4.6bn |
| 2036 | 5.2bn | 7.2bn | 3.5bn | 4.1bn – 6.3bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.85(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0.52 | 2.23 | -0.96 | 0.22 – 0.82 |
| 2029 | -0.74 | 2.23 | -3.3 | -1.28 – -0.19 |
| 2031 | -1.99 | 1.83 | -5.31 | -2.79 – -1.19 |
| 2036 | -5.13 | 0.28 | -9.82 | -6.86 – -3.41 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed971.91(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.3k | 1.6k | 1.1k | 1.3k – 1.4k |
| 2029 | 1.5k | 1.9k | 1.1k | 1.3k – 1.6k |
| 2031 | 1.6k | 2.2k | 1.1k | 1.4k – 1.8k |
| 2036 | 2k | 2.9k | 1.3k | 1.6k – 2.5k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed49(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 49.47 | 60.01 | 37.3 | 47.05 – 51.88 |
| 2029 | 50.4 | 68.67 | 29.32 | 45.17 – 55.63 |
| 2031 | 51.33 | 74.92 | 24.12 | 43.6 – 59.07 |
| 2036 | 53.66 | 87.02 | 15.17 | 39.94 – 67.38 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed98.59(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 99.05 | 106.93 | 91.18 | 95.98 – 102.12 |
| 2026 | 99.98 | 113.61 | 86.35 | 92.58 – 107.38 |
| 2028 | 100.91 | 118.51 | 83.31 | 89.45 – 112.37 |
| 2033 | 103.23 | 128.12 | 78.33 | 81.81 – 124.64 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.11(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.29 | 7.3 | 1.07 | 3.55 – 5.03 |
| 2029 | 4.01 | 9.22 | -1.58 | 2.66 – 5.36 |
| 2031 | 3.73 | 10.46 | -3.48 | 1.94 – 5.52 |
| 2036 | 3.03 | 12.55 | -5 | 0.44 – 5.62 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed28.35(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29 | 31.51 | 26.83 | 28.1 – 29.9 |
| 2026 | 30.57 | 34.91 | 26.81 | 28.31 – 32.83 |
| 2028 | 32.14 | 37.74 | 27.29 | 28.49 – 35.79 |
| 2033 | 36.07 | 43.99 | 29.2 | 28.59 – 43.55 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.3m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.4m | 2.5m | 2.3m | 2.3m – 2.5m |
| 2029 | 2.4m | 2.5m | 2.3m | 2.2m – 2.6m |
| 2031 | 2.4m | 2.6m | 2.3m | 2.2m – 2.7m |
| 2036 | 2.5m | 2.6m | 2.4m | 2m – 3m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.14(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.29 | 11.55 | -6.41 | -0.02 – 2.59 |
| 2027 | 1.89 | 15 | -10 | -0.42 – 4.2 |
| 2029 | 2.5 | 15 | -10 | -0.57 – 5.56 |
| 2034 | 4.01 | 15 | -10 | -0.69 – 8.71 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed16.32(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 15.85 | 17.02 | 14.68 | 15.36 – 16.34 |
| 2028 | 14.92 | 16.95 | 12.9 | 13.82 – 16.03 |
| 2030 | 13.99 | 16.61 | 11.38 | 12.41 – 15.58 |
| 2035 | 11.67 | 15.37 | 7.98 | 9.24 – 14.11 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/LSO · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
