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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

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World/Sentiment/American Samoa

Sentiment

American Samoa — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
+0.38supportiveNormal

Macro stress 31/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: Low
As of 2022-12-31
By aspect — American Samoa’s macro dimensions
GrowthNormal
+0.38supportive

Stress 31/100 · as of 2022-12-31

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2023

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2023 · projection
+0.10balancedWatch

Projected macro stress 45/100

Change vs now

−0.28 sentiment

+14 stress

GrowthWatch

Projected 1.23 · stress 45/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 1/5 drivers (4 without a projection) · Low confidence.
AI read

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey not covered

No observed survey sentiment is currently held for American Samoa.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
Not coveredNot covered

No OECD Consumer Confidence Index is held for "ASM" (OECD covers ~41 economies).

Would require: An ingested OECD Consumer Confidence Index series for this country (OECD covers ~41 economies).

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived

Alerts

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We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

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Not covered
Not covered

No OECD Consumer Confidence Index is held for "ASM" (the soft signal; OECD covers ~41 economies).

Would require: Both an ingested OECD Consumer Confidence Index series (OECD covers ~41 economies) AND a derivable macro-pressure sentiment (live growth/inflation/labour/fiscal/external) for this country.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/ASM/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs