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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

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World/Sentiment/Colombia

Sentiment

Colombia — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Sentiment

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey heldledger ca5c236

Colombia: consumer confidence is 101.4601 (above-trend optimism); soft vs hard sentiment is divergent — confidence ahead of fundamentals.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
OECD Consumer Confidence Index
101.46

OECD SDMX API

Above-trend optimismvs 100 long-run trend
MoM ▼−0.373m ▼−0.61YoY ▲+3.1

Consumer confidence in Colombia is 101.46 — above the 100 long-run trend (above-trend optimism) and falling.

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived
DivergentConfidence ahead of fundamentalsconf high
Soft (survey)
+0.29

CCI 101.46 · optimistic

Hard (macro)
-0.22

cautious · pressure 61

Gap (soft − hard)
+0.51

>0 = confidence ahead

DIVERGENCE for Colombia: consumers are more upbeat than the macro fundamentals justify (confidence running ahead of the hard data).

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/COL/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs