PredictonomyPredictonomy
Home
Countries
Indicators
Sectors
Sentiment
Studios
Briefings
Methodology
Sign in
PredictonomyPredictonomy

Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

Explore

  • Home
  • Countries
  • Indicators
  • Sectors
  • Sentiment
  • Studios
  • Briefings
  • Methodology
  • Global dashboard
  • Signals

Company

  • Pricing
  • Developers
  • Data status
  • About
  • Legal
World/Sentiment/Europe & Central Asia

Sentiment

Europe & Central Asia — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
+0.20balancedWatch

Macro stress 40/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: Moderate
As of 2025
By aspect — Europe & Central Asia’s macro dimensions
GrowthNormal
+0.36supportive

Stress 32/100 · as of 2025

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1991–2025
+0.14Improving

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Span change

+0.30

Latest step

−0.05

Years

35

Confidence

Moderate

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2026

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2026 · projection
+0.14balancedWatch

Projected macro stress 43/100

Change vs now

−0.06 sentiment

+3 stress

GrowthWatch

Projected 2.09 · stress 35/100

InflationElevated

Projected 4.57 · stress 56/100

LabourWatch

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey not covered

No observed survey sentiment is currently held for Europe & Central Asia.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
Not coveredNot covered

No OECD Consumer Confidence Index is held for "ECS" (OECD covers ~41 economies).

Would require: An ingested OECD Consumer Confidence Index series for this country (OECD covers ~41 economies).

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived

Alerts

Get notified

We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

Sentiment alertsSign in to set sentiment alerts.

Manage your alerts on your account.

Inflation
Watch
−0.08balanced

Stress 54/100 · as of 2025

LabourWatch
+0.24balanced

Stress 38/100 · as of 2025

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

AI read

Projected 4.97 · stress 43/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 3/5 drivers (2 without a projection) · Moderate confidence.
AI read
Not covered
Not covered

No OECD Consumer Confidence Index is held for "ECS" (the soft signal; OECD covers ~41 economies).

Would require: Both an ingested OECD Consumer Confidence Index series (OECD covers ~41 economies) AND a derivable macro-pressure sentiment (live growth/inflation/labour/fiscal/external) for this country.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/ECS/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs