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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Sentiment/India

Sentiment

India — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
+0.40supportiveNormal

Macro stress 30/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: High
As of 2025-12-31
By aspect — India’s macro dimensions
GrowthNormal
+0.90supportive

Stress 5/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1961–2025
+0.39Deteriorating

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2026

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2026 · projection
+0.44supportiveNormal

Projected macro stress 28/100

Change vs now

+0.04 sentiment

-2 stress

GrowthNormal

Projected 8.2 · stress 5/100

InflationNormal

Projected 1.46 · stress 19/100

LabourNormal

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey heldledger 51018ed

India: consumer confidence is 101.3009 (above-trend optimism); soft vs hard sentiment is aligned.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
OECD Consumer Confidence Index
101.30

Alerts

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We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

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Inflation
Normal
+0.56supportive

Stress 22/100 · as of 2025-12-31

LabourWatch
+0.10balanced

Stress 45/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Debt / fiscalWatch
+0.12balanced

Stress 44/100 · as of 2025-12-31

ExternalElevated
−0.26cautious

Stress 63/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

Span change

−0.26

Latest step

+0.12

Years

65

Confidence

High

AI read

Projected 3.49 · stress 31/100

Debt / fiscalWatch

Projected 85.99 · stress 53/100

ExternalElevated

Projected -0.84 · stress 55/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 5/5 drivers · High confidence.
AI read

OECD SDMX API

Above-trend optimismvs 100 long-run trend
MoM ▼−0.333m ▼−1.02YoY ▼−1.44

Consumer confidence in India is 101.3 — above the 100 long-run trend (above-trend optimism) and falling.

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived
Alignedconf high
Soft (survey)
+0.26

CCI 101.3 · optimistic

Hard (macro)
+0.40

supportive · pressure 30

Gap (soft − hard)
-0.14

>0 = confidence ahead

Soft (consumer confidence) and hard (macro fundamentals) sentiment AGREE for India — both point the same way.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/IND/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs