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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

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World/Sentiment/India

Sentiment

India — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Sentiment

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey heldledger ca5c236

India: consumer confidence is 102.3672 (above-trend optimism); soft vs hard sentiment is aligned.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
OECD Consumer Confidence Index
102.37

OECD SDMX API

Above-trend optimismvs 100 long-run trend
MoM ▼−0.373m ▼−0.97YoY ▼−0.07

Consumer confidence in India is 102.37 — above the 100 long-run trend (above-trend optimism) and falling.

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived
Alignedconf high
Soft (survey)
+0.47

CCI 102.37 · optimistic

Hard (macro)
+0.14

balanced · pressure 43

Gap (soft − hard)
+0.33

>0 = confidence ahead

Soft (consumer confidence) and hard (macro fundamentals) sentiment AGREE for India — both point the same way.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/IND/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs