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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

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World/Sentiment/New Zealand

Sentiment

New Zealand — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Sentiment

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey heldledger ca5c236

New Zealand: consumer confidence is 98.49857 (below-trend pessimism); soft vs hard sentiment is divergent — confidence behind fundamentals.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
OECD Consumer Confidence Index
98.50

OECD SDMX API

Below-trend pessimismvs 100 long-run trend
MoM ▼−0.073m ▼−0.08YoY ▲+0.5

Consumer confidence in New Zealand is 98.5 — below the 100 long-run trend (below-trend pessimism) and broadly flat.

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived
DivergentConfidence behind fundamentalsconf high
Soft (survey)
-0.30

CCI 98.5 · pessimistic

Hard (macro)
+0.12

balanced · pressure 44

Gap (soft − hard)
-0.42

>0 = confidence ahead

DIVERGENCE for New Zealand: consumers are gloomier than the macro fundamentals justify (confidence lagging behind the hard data).

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/NZL/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs