Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Aruba: forward projections across 10 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed6.5
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 8.92 | 27.34 | -9.5 | 5.02 – 12.82 |
| 2029 | 13.76 | 30 | -18.15 | 6.59 – 20.93 |
| 2031 | 18.6 | 30 | -22.59 | 8.71 – 28.5 |
| 2036 | 30 | 30 | -28.26 | 13.31 – 30 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed83.99(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 86.69 | 104.86 | 70.95 | 82.71 – 90.67 |
| 2027 | 92.09 | 123.55 | 64.82 | 83.17 – 101 |
| 2029 | 97.48 | 138.1 | 62.28 | 83.88 – 111.08 |
| 2034 | 110.97 | 150 | 61.19 | 85.01 – 136.94 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.3bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.9bn | 5.8bn | 4.1bn | 4.7bn – 5.1bn |
| 2029 | 5.5bn | 7.1bn | 4bn | 5bn – 5.9bn |
| 2031 | 6bn | 8.1bn | 4.2bn | 5.3bn – 6.7bn |
| 2036 | 7.4bn | 10.4bn | 4.8bn | 5.9bn – 9bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.81(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0.38 | 2.96 | -1.87 | -0.07 – 0.82 |
| 2029 | -4.12 | 0.37 | -8 | -5.06 – -3.17 |
| 2031 | -8.61 | -2.82 | -10 | -10 – -6.96 |
| 2036 | -10 | -1.81 | -10 | -10 – -7.04 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed39.5k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 44.8k | 53.4k | 37.3k | 43k – 46.5k |
| 2029 | 49.7k | 64.6k | 36.8k | 45.5k – 53.9k |
| 2031 | 54.6k | 73.8k | 38k | 48k – 61.3k |
| 2036 | 67k | 94.1k | 43.4k | 53k – 80.9k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed60.3(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 58.2 | 89.05 | 22.61 | 52.52 – 63.88 |
| 2029 | 54 | 107.43 | 0 | 43.19 – 64.81 |
| 2031 | 49.8 | 118.78 | 0 | 35.2 – 64.4 |
| 2036 | 39.3 | 136.85 | 0 | 18 – 60.6 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed76.37(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 77.7 | 84.13 | 71.26 | 75.29 – 80.1 |
| 2027 | 80.34 | 91.48 | 69.2 | 74.4 – 86.28 |
| 2029 | 82.98 | 97.37 | 68.6 | 73.56 – 92.41 |
| 2034 | 89.6 | 109.94 | 69.26 | 71.01 – 108.18 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.26(2019)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.84 | 7.13 | -3.84 | 0.63 – 3.04 |
| 2029 | 3.38 | 12.55 | -5 | 1.18 – 5.57 |
| 2031 | 4.92 | 16.76 | -5 | 1.9 – 7.93 |
| 2036 | 8.77 | 25.52 | -5 | 3.65 – 13.88 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed108k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 108.8k | 113.9k | 104k | 105.4k – 112.1k |
| 2029 | 108.8k | 113.9k | 104k | 100.7k – 116.8k |
| 2031 | 108.8k | 113.9k | 104k | 96.4k – 121.1k |
| 2036 | 108.8k | 113.9k | 104k | 86.2k – 131.3k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.3(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.61 | 7.26 | 0 | 2.99 – 4.22 |
| 2029 | 2.22 | 8.54 | 0 | 1.14 – 3.29 |
| 2031 | 0.83 | 8.99 | 0 | 0 – 2.16 |
| 2036 | 0 | 11.55 | 0 | 0 – 1.93 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/ABW · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
