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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Forecast/Afghanistan

Forecast

Afghanistan — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2026 baseline projection
3.97

Afghanistan: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2024, 2026, 2028, 2030, 2033, 2035. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed

-40.2
(2025)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2026-30-12.97-30-30 – -26.05
2028-30-0.51-30-30 – -22.54
2030-308.07-30-30 – -19.83
2035-3023.84-30-30 – -14.21

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed16.85(2023)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202419.1924.6414.4618.1 – 20.27
202623.8533.315.6721.36 – 26.35
202828.5240.7117.9524.5 – 32.54
203340.1957.4325.2431.29 – 49.08

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed17.2bn(2023)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202620.5bn25.8bn15.9bn19.5bn – 21.5bn
202822.4bn31.6bn14.4bn20.2bn – 24.6bn
203024.3bn36.2bn14bn21bn – 27.7bn
203529.1bn46bn14.6bn22.5bn – 35.8bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed2.27(2023)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20263.9712-100.02 – 7.92
20286.6612-10-0.39 – 12
20309.3612-10-0.08 – 12
20351212-10-2.21 – 12

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed413.76(2023)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2026458.88591.52343.94435.75 – 482.02
2028481.24710.96282.14430.79 – 531.69
2030503.59800.17246.56428 – 579.19
2035559.48978.9195.99420.03 – 698.93

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed8(2025)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20268.1511.174.667.55 – 8.74
20288.4513.682.417.24 – 9.66
20308.7415.50.957 – 10.48
20359.4819.0406.5 – 12.47

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed50.73(2023)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202456.8174.6838.9453.16 – 60.45
202668.9699.9138.0160.91 – 77.01
202881.11121.0741.1668.51 – 93.72
2033111.515054.9985.01 – 137.98

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed-6.6(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20267.327.67-52.67 – 11.94
202820.6150-511.8 – 29.42
203033.9150-521.1 – 46.72
20355050-527.72 – 50

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed15.24(2023)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202415.0619.4611.2514.19 – 15.93
202614.8522.468.2513.05 – 16.65
202814.6324.466.1112.06 – 17.21
203314.1282.059.86 – 18.34

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed42.6m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202643.6m45.6m41.7m42.2m – 44.9m
202844.9m47m42.9m41.6m – 48.2m
203046.2m48.4m44.2m41m – 51.5m
203549.5m51.8m47.3m39.2m – 59.8m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed-0.49(2023)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20240.2215-10-3.38 – 3.82
20261.8415-10-4.46 – 8.14
20283.4715-10-4.83 – 11.77
20337.5315-10-5.01 – 15

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed13.35(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202613.7315.5111.9413.23 – 14.22
202814.4817.5711.3813.31 – 15.65
203015.2319.2311.2313.4 – 17.06
203517.1122.7611.4613.51 – 20.71

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/AFG · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs