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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Forecast/United Arab Emirates

Forecast

United Arab Emirates — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection
2.79

United Arab Emirates: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2010, 2012, 2014, 2019, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2033, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed

11.4
(2026)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202712.3517.956.7511.01 – 13.69
202914.2523.944.5511.58 – 16.91
203116.1428.663.6312.3 – 19.99
203620.89303.1913.93 – 27.84

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed106.85(2023)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2024108.72114.54103.68105.35 – 112.09
2026112.47122.54103.73104.15 – 120.79
2028116.21129.22104.93103.02 – 129.41
2033125.58143.98109.6399.53 – 150

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed552.3bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027646.4bn749.7bn557bn623.8bn – 669.1bn
2029710.9bn889.7bn556bn655.5bn – 766.3bn
2031775.4bn1T575.3bn685.9bn – 864.9bn
2036936.6bn1.3T653.7bn742.3bn – 1.1T

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed3.99(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20272.797.87-1.621.89 – 3.68
20291.9610.77-5.680.4 – 3.52
20311.1312-8.73-0.86 – 3.11
2036-0.9412-10-3.78 – 1.9

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed50.3k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202755.3k65k46.8k53.2k – 57.3k
202958.1k75.1k43.5k53.3k – 62.9k
203161k82.9k42.1k53.5k – 68.5k
203668.2k99.2k41.4k53.6k – 82.8k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed31.4(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202732.8238.8925.8131.36 – 34.28
202935.6546.1623.5232.32 – 38.98
203138.4852.0622.8233.32 – 43.65
203645.5664.7623.4135.32 – 55.81

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed92.2(2023)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202495.55107.5583.5592.18 – 98.92
2026102.25123.0481.4694.16 – 110.34
2028108.95135.7982.1296.13 – 121.78
2033125.7115087.7699.63 – 150

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed1.66(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20273.038.77-3.131.71 – 4.35
20294.7114.66-52.28 – 7.14
20316.3919.24-53.03 – 9.75
203610.5928.76-54.87 – 16.31

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed28.91(2009)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
201030.6237.5724.629.14 – 32.1
201235.0547.0824.6231.65 – 38.45
201439.4855.0226.0234.1 – 44.86
201950.567031.5239.33 – 61.78

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed11m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202711.3m11.9m10.8m11m – 11.7m
202911.4m12m10.8m10.6m – 12.3m
203111.5m12.3m10.8m10.2m – 12.8m
203611.7m12.9m10.7m9.3m – 14.2m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed-1.17(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2025-2.18.44-10-3.45 – -0.75
2027-4.0314.24-10-6.51 – -1.55
2029-5.9615-10-9.38 – -2.53
2034-1015-10-10 – -4.23

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed2.17(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20261.772.680.851.6 – 1.94
20280.962.5500.67 – 1.25
20300.152.200 – 0.54
203502.8900 – 0.6

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/ARE · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs