Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Armenia: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed-6
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -6.15 | -1.07 | -11.23 | -7.29 – -5.02 |
| 2029 | -6.46 | 2.34 | -15.26 | -8.57 – -4.36 |
| 2031 | -6.77 | 4.59 | -18.12 | -9.63 – -3.91 |
| 2036 | -7.54 | 8.52 | -23.6 | -12.02 – -3.05 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed73.63(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 78.26 | 96.21 | 62.71 | 74.45 – 82.08 |
| 2027 | 87.53 | 118.62 | 60.59 | 78.89 – 96.18 |
| 2029 | 96.81 | 136.94 | 62.02 | 83.33 – 110.29 |
| 2034 | 119.99 | 150 | 70.8 | 92.68 – 147.3 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed26bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 34bn | 38.3bn | 30.3bn | 33bn – 35.1bn |
| 2029 | 39.6bn | 47bn | 33.1bn | 36.7bn – 42.5bn |
| 2031 | 45.1bn | 54.8bn | 36.8bn | 40bn – 50.3bn |
| 2036 | 59bn | 72.6bn | 47.3bn | 46.8bn – 71.3bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.9(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.01 | 12 | -2.07 | 3.57 – 6.45 |
| 2029 | 4.18 | 12 | -8.09 | 1.62 – 6.74 |
| 2031 | 3.35 | 12 | -10 | 0.04 – 6.67 |
| 2036 | 1.28 | 12 | -10 | -3.24 – 5.79 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed8.6k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 11k | 12.5k | 9.8k | 10.7k – 11.4k |
| 2029 | 12.7k | 15.3k | 10.5k | 11.8k – 13.7k |
| 2031 | 14.4k | 17.7k | 11.6k | 12.8k – 16.1k |
| 2036 | 18.7k | 23.3k | 14.7k | 14.8k – 22.6k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed50.6(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 49.36 | 61.75 | 35.06 | 46.66 – 52.05 |
| 2029 | 46.87 | 68.34 | 22.1 | 41.32 – 52.43 |
| 2031 | 44.39 | 72.1 | 12.41 | 36.57 – 52.2 |
| 2036 | 38.18 | 77.37 | 0 | 26.04 – 50.31 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed76.44(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 79.21 | 96.49 | 61.92 | 75.29 – 83.12 |
| 2027 | 84.74 | 114.68 | 54.81 | 76.09 – 93.39 |
| 2029 | 90.28 | 128.93 | 51.63 | 77.14 – 103.42 |
| 2034 | 104.12 | 150 | 49.46 | 79.1 – 129.15 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed0.27(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.54 | 10.34 | -3.74 | 1.98 – 5.11 |
| 2029 | 3.96 | 15.74 | -5 | 1.16 – 6.77 |
| 2031 | 4.38 | 19.59 | -5 | 0.66 – 8.11 |
| 2036 | 5.43 | 26.94 | -5 | -0.2 – 11.07 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed21.36(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21.54 | 24.73 | 18.77 | 20.74 – 22.34 |
| 2027 | 22.22 | 27.76 | 17.43 | 20.37 – 24.08 |
| 2029 | 22.91 | 30.05 | 16.72 | 20.06 – 25.76 |
| 2034 | 24.62 | 34.72 | 15.87 | 19.24 – 30 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3m | 3.2m | 2.9m | 3m – 3.1m |
| 2029 | 3m | 3.2m | 2.9m | 2.8m – 3.3m |
| 2031 | 3m | 3.2m | 2.9m | 2.7m – 3.4m |
| 2036 | 3m | 3.2m | 2.9m | 2.4m – 3.6m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.21(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.07 | 15 | -10 | -0.59 – 6.73 |
| 2027 | 2.61 | 15 | -10 | -3.76 – 8.99 |
| 2029 | 2.16 | 15 | -10 | -6.08 – 10.4 |
| 2034 | 1.01 | 15 | -10 | -10 – 12.58 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed12.87(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 12.37 | 14.11 | 10.62 | 11.9 – 12.83 |
| 2029 | 11.51 | 14.53 | 8.48 | 10.49 – 12.52 |
| 2031 | 10.65 | 14.55 | 6.74 | 9.2 – 12.09 |
| 2036 | 8.49 | 14.01 | 2.97 | 6.29 – 10.69 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/ARM · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
