Forecast

Antigua and Barbuda — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

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Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236

Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection

1.91

Antigua and Barbuda: forward projections across 9 macro indicators, horizons 2023, 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2032, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Exports of goods and services

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2023	51.29	74.76	30.96	47.12 – 55.47
2025	44.44	85.08	9.21	36.5 – 52.37
2027	37.58	90.05	0	27.07 – 48.08
2032	20.43	94.64	0	6.56 – 34.3

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	2.5bn	2.9bn	2.2bn	2.4bn – 2.6bn
2029	2.7bn	3.4bn	2.2bn	2.5bn – 2.9bn
2031	3bn	3.8bn	2.3bn	2.6bn – 3.3bn
2036	3.6bn	4.8bn	2.6bn	2.9bn – 4.3bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	1.91	7.95	-3.33	0.87 – 2.95
2029	0.28	10.75	-8.79	-1.51 – 2.07
2031	-1.35	12	-10	-3.71 – 1.01
2036	-5.43	12	-10	-9.48 – -1.38

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	22.7k	27.3k	18.8k	21.8k – 23.6k
2029	23.6k	31.4k	16.8k	21.6k – 25.7k
2031	24.5k	34.6k	15.7k	21.3k – 27.7k
2036	26.7k	41k	14.3k	20.7k – 32.7k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	63.86	78.48	47	60.59 – 67.13
2029	58.59	83.9	29.38	51.88 – 65.3
2031	53.32	85.99	15.61	44.02 – 62.61
2036	40.13	86.35	0	26.6 – 53.66

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2023	62.43	76.63	48.22	59.25 – 65.6
2025	61.32	85.92	36.72	54.61 – 68.03
2027	60.21	91.97	28.45	50.53 – 69.89
2032	57.44	102.36	12.53	41.38 – 73.51

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	3.49	10.62	-4.15	1.85 – 5.12
2029	5.17	17.52	-5	2.18 – 8.15
2031	6.85	22.79	-5	2.77 – 10.93
2036	11.05	33.59	-5	4.28 – 17.81

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	103.7k	110.1k	97.8k	100.5k – 107k
2029	104.8k	115.9k	94.6k	97.1k – 112.6k
2031	105.9k	120.2k	92.7k	93.9k – 118k
2036	108.7k	128.8k	90k	86.2k – 131.2k

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

2027	-11.62	-2.85	-20.38	-13.59 – -9.64
2029	-11.25	3.93	-26.43	-14.89 – -7.61
2031	-10.88	8.71	-30	-15.75 – -6.01
2036	-9.97	17.74	-30	-17.22 – -2.72