Forecast

Australia — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

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Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236

Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection

2.13

Australia: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Exports of goods and services

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	25.23	29.22	21.76	24.25 – 26.2
2027	26.44	33.36	20.44	24.18 – 28.7
2029	27.65	36.59	19.9	24.16 – 31.14
2034	30.68	43.32	19.72	23.96 – 37.39

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	2.2T	2.4T	2T	2.1T – 2.3T
2029	2.4T	2.8T	2.1T	2.3T – 2.6T
2031	2.7T	3.2T	2.2T	2.4T – 3T
2036	3.2T	4T	2.6T	2.6T – 3.9T

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	2.13	5.21	-0.54	1.58 – 2.67
2029	2.32	7.66	-2.31	1.32 – 3.32
2031	2.51	9.41	-3.46	1.16 – 3.86
2036	3	12	-5.45	0.89 – 5.1

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	77.9k	87.2k	69.9k	75.5k – 80.3k
2029	84.1k	100.2k	70.2k	77.9k – 90.3k
2031	90.2k	111k	72.3k	80k – 100.5k
2036	105.6k	135k	80.2k	83.7k – 127.5k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	51.48	59.05	42.74	49.49 – 53.47
2029	53.23	66.35	38.1	48.66 – 57.81
2031	54.99	71.92	35.45	47.98 – 61.99
2036	59.38	83.32	31.74	46.19 – 72.56

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	22.61	25.62	19.6	21.79 – 23.43
2027	22.78	27.99	17.56	20.88 – 24.67
2029	22.94	29.68	16.21	20.08 – 25.81
2034	23.36	32.89	13.84	18.17 – 28.56

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	4.53	8.77	-0.02	3.52 – 5.54
2029	6.07	13.42	-1.8	4.15 – 7.99
2031	7.61	17.1	-2.56	4.9 – 10.32
2036	11.46	24.87	-2.92	6.65 – 16.27

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	24.27	25.59	23.12	23.52 – 25.02
2027	24.71	27	22.73	22.88 – 26.54
2029	25.16	28.11	22.59	22.3 – 28.01
2034	26.26	30.44	22.64	20.82 – 31.71

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	27.9m	29.2m	26.7m	27.1m – 28.8m
2029	28.3m	29.6m	27.1m	26.2m – 30.4m
2031	28.7m	30m	27.4m	25.4m – 31.9m
2036	29.6m	31m	28.3m	23.5m – 35.8m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	0.13	3.6	-2.47	-0.32 – 0.58
2027	0.59	6.6	-3.91	-0.2 – 1.39
2029	1.06	8.81	-4.75	0.01 – 2.12
2034	2.23	13.19	-5.99	0.5 – 3.95

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	4.12	5.25	2.99	3.88 – 4.36
2029	3.96	5.92	2.01	3.48 – 4.45
2031	3.81	6.33	1.29	3.12 – 4.5
2036	3.41	6.98	0	2.32 – 4.51

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

2027	-2.9	-0.48	-5.32	-3.44 – -2.36
2029	-4.11	0.08	-8.3	-5.16 – -3.05
2031	-5.31	0.1	-10.72	-6.84 – -3.78
2036	-8.32	-0.67	-15.98	-11.22 – -5.43