Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Bulgaria: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed-4
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -4.98 | -1.36 | -8.59 | -5.79 – -4.16 |
| 2029 | -6.93 | -0.67 | -13.19 | -8.54 – -5.32 |
| 2031 | -8.88 | -0.79 | -16.97 | -11.24 – -6.52 |
| 2036 | -13.76 | -2.33 | -25.2 | -18.3 – -9.23 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed56.37(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 55.52 | 67.8 | 44.88 | 52.88 – 58.16 |
| 2027 | 53.82 | 75.08 | 35.39 | 48.2 – 59.44 |
| 2029 | 52.11 | 79.56 | 28.32 | 44.02 – 60.2 |
| 2034 | 47.86 | 86.68 | 14.21 | 34.65 – 61.06 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed113.3bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 159.2bn | 170.3bn | 149.6bn | 154.3bn – 164.1bn |
| 2029 | 187bn | 206.2bn | 170.3bn | 173.1bn – 200.8bn |
| 2031 | 214.8bn | 239.5bn | 193.3bn | 190.4bn – 239.1bn |
| 2036 | 284.2bn | 319.2bn | 253.9bn | 225.3bn – 343.2bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.39(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.39 | 6.35 | -1.05 | 1.69 – 3.09 |
| 2029 | 1.45 | 8.32 | -4.5 | 0.24 – 2.67 |
| 2031 | 0.52 | 9.38 | -7.17 | -1.04 – 2.07 |
| 2036 | -1.83 | 10.71 | -10 | -4.21 – 0.55 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed17.6k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 25.7k | 27.7k | 24k | 24.9k – 26.5k |
| 2029 | 30.5k | 33.9k | 27.5k | 28.3k – 32.8k |
| 2031 | 35.3k | 39.7k | 31.5k | 31.3k – 39.3k |
| 2036 | 47.2k | 53.5k | 41.8k | 37.4k – 57k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed28.2(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 28.94 | 32.9 | 24.38 | 27.87 – 30.02 |
| 2029 | 30.43 | 37.29 | 22.52 | 27.92 – 32.95 |
| 2031 | 31.92 | 40.78 | 21.71 | 28.01 – 35.84 |
| 2036 | 35.65 | 48.17 | 21.21 | 28.02 – 43.28 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed53.86(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53.15 | 65.98 | 40.32 | 50.34 – 55.97 |
| 2027 | 51.74 | 73.97 | 29.52 | 45.86 – 57.63 |
| 2029 | 50.34 | 79.03 | 21.64 | 41.92 – 58.75 |
| 2034 | 46.82 | 87.39 | 6.24 | 33.11 – 60.52 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.45(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.03 | 17.78 | -5 | 0.92 – 7.14 |
| 2029 | 4.45 | 28.27 | -5 | -1.04 – 9.95 |
| 2031 | 4.87 | 35.62 | -5 | -2.33 – 12.08 |
| 2036 | 5.92 | 49.4 | -5 | -4.66 – 16.51 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed18.31(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18.69 | 21.37 | 16.36 | 18 – 19.37 |
| 2027 | 19.46 | 24.1 | 15.44 | 17.86 – 21.05 |
| 2029 | 20.23 | 26.22 | 15.04 | 17.75 – 22.7 |
| 2034 | 22.15 | 30.63 | 14.81 | 17.4 – 26.91 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.4m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 6.2m | 6.5m | 6m | 6.1m – 6.4m |
| 2029 | 6.2m | 6.5m | 5.9m | 5.7m – 6.6m |
| 2031 | 6.1m | 6.4m | 5.9m | 5.4m – 6.8m |
| 2036 | 6m | 6.3m | 5.7m | 4.7m – 7.2m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.4(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.57 | 15 | -5.45 | 2.01 – 5.12 |
| 2027 | 2.06 | 15 | -10 | -0.64 – 4.76 |
| 2029 | 0.55 | 15 | -10 | -2.89 – 3.98 |
| 2034 | -3.23 | 15 | -10 | -8.49 – 2.04 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.54(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.09 | 3.93 | 2.25 | 2.91 – 3.27 |
| 2029 | 2.48 | 3.93 | 1.02 | 2.13 – 2.82 |
| 2031 | 1.86 | 3.73 | 0 | 1.42 – 2.3 |
| 2036 | 0.32 | 2.97 | 0 | 0 – 0.88 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/BGR · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
