Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Bahrain: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.12 | 20.66 | -10.42 | 1.87 – 8.37 |
| 2029 | 7.56 | 30 | -19.35 | 1.71 – 13.42 |
| 2031 | 10.01 | 30 | -24.74 | 2.12 – 17.9 |
| 2036 | 16.11 | 30 | -30 | 3.51 – 28.72 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed87.67(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 90.66 | 106.73 | 76.73 | 86.91 – 94.4 |
| 2027 | 96.62 | 124.47 | 72.49 | 88.01 – 105.24 |
| 2029 | 102.59 | 138.53 | 71.44 | 89.25 – 115.93 |
| 2034 | 117.5 | 150 | 73.44 | 91.44 – 143.56 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed47.1bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 49.7bn | 56.4bn | 43.9bn | 48.1bn – 51.3bn |
| 2029 | 52bn | 63.6bn | 42bn | 48.1bn – 55.9bn |
| 2031 | 54.3bn | 69.2bn | 41.4bn | 48.2bn – 60.5bn |
| 2036 | 60.1bn | 81.2bn | 41.8bn | 47.6bn – 72.5bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.6(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -1.62 | 2.44 | -5.15 | -2.33 – -0.92 |
| 2029 | -4.3 | 2.74 | -10 | -5.69 – -2.92 |
| 2031 | -6.98 | 2.12 | -10 | -9.06 – -4.91 |
| 2036 | -10 | 2.87 | -10 | -10 – -6.26 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed29.7k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 29.8k | 34k | 26.1k | 28.8k – 30.7k |
| 2029 | 30.3k | 37.6k | 24k | 28k – 32.6k |
| 2031 | 30.8k | 40.3k | 22.6k | 27.2k – 34.4k |
| 2036 | 32.2k | 45.5k | 20.6k | 25.4k – 38.9k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed152.4(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 159.55 | 178.45 | 137.74 | 154.09 – 165.01 |
| 2029 | 173.86 | 206.6 | 136.08 | 160.48 – 187.24 |
| 2031 | 188.16 | 230.43 | 139.4 | 166.61 – 209.72 |
| 2036 | 223.93 | 283.7 | 154.96 | 177.48 – 270.38 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed70.14(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 71.09 | 77.59 | 64.59 | 68.89 – 73.29 |
| 2027 | 72.98 | 84.24 | 61.73 | 67.59 – 78.38 |
| 2029 | 74.88 | 89.41 | 60.35 | 66.38 – 83.38 |
| 2034 | 79.61 | 100.16 | 59.06 | 63.1 – 96.13 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed0.92(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.49 | 8.99 | -2.41 | 2.21 – 4.76 |
| 2029 | 6.99 | 16.52 | -3.22 | 4.54 – 9.43 |
| 2031 | 10.49 | 22.79 | -2.69 | 6.92 – 14.05 |
| 2036 | 19.24 | 36.63 | 0.6 | 12.3 – 26.17 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed28.94(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29.51 | 34.04 | 25.57 | 28.38 – 30.63 |
| 2027 | 30.78 | 38.64 | 23.97 | 28.18 – 33.38 |
| 2029 | 32.06 | 42.21 | 23.27 | 28.05 – 36.08 |
| 2034 | 35.26 | 49.61 | 22.82 | 27.57 – 42.95 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.6m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.6m | 1.7m | 1.6m | 1.6m – 1.7m |
| 2029 | 1.7m | 1.8m | 1.6m | 1.6m – 1.8m |
| 2031 | 1.7m | 1.8m | 1.6m | 1.5m – 1.9m |
| 2036 | 1.8m | 1.9m | 1.7m | 1.4m – 2.2m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.73(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.46 | 9.25 | -4.38 | 0.46 – 2.46 |
| 2027 | 0.95 | 14.45 | -9.17 | -0.78 – 2.69 |
| 2029 | 0.45 | 15 | -10 | -1.81 – 2.7 |
| 2034 | -0.82 | 15 | -10 | -4.06 – 2.42 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.1(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.96 | 1.22 | 0.7 | 0.91 – 1.02 |
| 2028 | 0.68 | 1.13 | 0.23 | 0.56 – 0.8 |
| 2030 | 0.4 | 0.98 | 0 | 0.23 – 0.57 |
| 2035 | 0 | 0.82 | 0 | 0 – 0.29 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/BHR · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
