Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Bermuda: forward projections across 7 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2034. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed52.14
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 52.33 | 57.23 | 48.08 | 50.71 – 53.95 |
| 2027 | 52.7 | 61.18 | 45.34 | 48.8 – 56.59 |
| 2029 | 53.06 | 64.02 | 43.57 | 47.04 – 59.09 |
| 2034 | 53.98 | 69.48 | 40.55 | 42.78 – 65.18 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed9.2bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9.6bn | 10.5bn | 8.9bn | 9.3bn – 9.9bn |
| 2027 | 10.6bn | 12.1bn | 9.4bn | 9.9bn – 11.4bn |
| 2029 | 11.7bn | 13.5bn | 10bn | 10.3bn – 13bn |
| 2034 | 14.2bn | 16.8bn | 11.8bn | 11.2bn – 17.1bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.97(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.33 | 12 | -4.66 | 4.12 – 8.55 |
| 2027 | 7.44 | 12 | -10 | 3.42 – 11.46 |
| 2029 | 8.55 | 12 | -10 | 3.14 – 12 |
| 2034 | 11.32 | 12 | -10 | 2.83 – 12 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed142.9k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 148.9k | 162.5k | 137.2k | 144.3k – 153.6k |
| 2027 | 164k | 187.4k | 143.7k | 151.9k – 176.2k |
| 2029 | 179.1k | 209.3k | 152.9k | 158.8k – 199.4k |
| 2034 | 216.8k | 250k | 179.8k | 171.8k – 250k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed23.15(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22.91 | 26.65 | 19.17 | 21.97 – 23.85 |
| 2027 | 22.44 | 28.92 | 15.96 | 20.37 – 24.51 |
| 2029 | 21.96 | 30.33 | 13.6 | 18.93 – 25 |
| 2034 | 20.78 | 32.61 | 8.95 | 15.65 – 25.92 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed10.95(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10.47 | 12.92 | 8.35 | 9.96 – 10.99 |
| 2027 | 9.29 | 13.53 | 5.61 | 8.24 – 10.34 |
| 2029 | 8.1 | 13.58 | 3.36 | 6.67 – 9.53 |
| 2034 | 5.14 | 12.88 | 0 | 3.21 – 7.06 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed64.6k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64.6k | 67.7k | 61.8k | 62.6k – 66.6k |
| 2027 | 64.5k | 67.6k | 61.7k | 59.8k – 69.3k |
| 2029 | 64.5k | 67.5k | 61.6k | 57.2k – 71.8k |
| 2034 | 64.3k | 67.3k | 61.5k | 51k – 77.6k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/BMU · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
