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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Forecast/Brazil

Forecast

Brazil — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection
1.32

Brazil: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed-2.7

(2026)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027-2.74-0.64-4.84-3.21 – -2.26
2029-2.810.83-6.45-3.68 – -1.93
2031-2.881.82-7.58-4.07 – -1.69
2036-3.063.59-9.7-4.9 – -1.21

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed17.94(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202518.822216.0618.06 – 19.57
202720.5726.0815.818.8 – 22.35
202922.3329.4416.1719.53 – 25.13
203426.7236.781821.01 – 32.44

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed2.2T(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20272.7T3.2T2.3T2.6T – 2.8T
20293T3.9T2.3T2.8T – 3.3T
20313.3T4.4T2.3T2.9T – 3.7T
20364T5.5T2.6T3.2T – 4.8T

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed3.42(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20271.322.92-0.071.03 – 1.61
20290.032.8-2.38-0.48 – 0.54
2031-1.272.31-4.37-1.97 – -0.57
2036-4.510.55-8.9-6.07 – -2.94

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed10.3k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202712.7k15.1k10.7k12.3k – 13.2k
202914k18k10.4k12.8k – 15.1k
203115.2k20.4k10.6k13.3k – 17k
203618.2k25.6k11.7k14.4k – 22k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed96.5(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202797.36105.9987.4194.34 – 100.38
202999.09114.0281.8591.76 – 106.42
2031100.81120.0978.5689.36 – 112.26
2036105.12132.3973.6583.31 – 126.92

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed17.65(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202518.4122.214.6217.53 – 19.28
202719.9426.513.3717.98 – 21.9
202921.4629.9412.9918.45 – 24.48
203425.2837.2713.319.4 – 31.16

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed4.37(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20273.587.71-0.842.61 – 4.56
20292.189.33-50.5 – 3.87
20310.7810.01-5-1.34 – 2.91
2036-2.7210.34-5-5 – 0.61

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed16.91(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202516.818.5515.2816.28 – 17.32
202716.6519.6814.0215.41 – 17.88
202916.520.4113.1114.62 – 18.38
203416.1221.6611.3312.75 – 19.49

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed212m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027213.7m223.8m204.4m207.1m – 220.4m
2029214.5m224.7m205.1m198.7m – 230.4m
2031215.3m225.5m205.9m190.9m – 239.8m
2036217.3m227.6m207.8m172.2m – 262.4m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed0.71(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20251.1110.59-6-0.09 – 2.31
20271.9315-10-0.21 – 4.08
20292.7615-10-0.11 – 5.63
20344.8215-100.3 – 9.33

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed5.97(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20275.588.572.585.03 – 6.13
20293.148.3302.19 – 4.08
20310.77.400 – 1.8
203609.4700 – 1.61

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/BRA · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs