Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Barbados: forward projections across 9 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed-7
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -7.5 | -2.37 | -12.63 | -8.67 – -6.33 |
| 2029 | -8.5 | 0.39 | -17.38 | -10.72 – -6.28 |
| 2031 | -9.49 | 1.98 | -20.96 | -12.59 – -6.39 |
| 2036 | -11.99 | 4.23 | -28.21 | -17.22 – -6.76 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed7.5bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 8.8bn | 9.8bn | 7.9bn | 8.5bn – 9.1bn |
| 2029 | 9.7bn | 11.4bn | 8.1bn | 8.9bn – 10.4bn |
| 2031 | 10.5bn | 12.8bn | 8.5bn | 9.3bn – 11.7bn |
| 2036 | 12.6bn | 15.8bn | 9.8bn | 10bn – 15.2bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.48(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.29 | 12 | -10 | -1.26 – 5.84 |
| 2029 | 1.63 | 12 | -10 | -4.54 – 7.79 |
| 2031 | 0.96 | 12 | -10 | -6.97 – 8.9 |
| 2036 | -0.69 | 12 | -10 | -10 – 10.58 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed26.5k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 29.9k | 33.5k | 26.8k | 29k – 30.9k |
| 2029 | 32.3k | 38.5k | 27k | 29.9k – 34.7k |
| 2031 | 34.7k | 42.7k | 27.8k | 30.8k – 38.7k |
| 2036 | 40.7k | 52k | 30.9k | 32.3k – 49.1k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed89.5(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 85.92 | 112.17 | 55.62 | 80.5 – 91.33 |
| 2029 | 78.75 | 124.23 | 26.27 | 67.97 – 89.52 |
| 2031 | 71.58 | 130.29 | 3.83 | 56.82 – 86.34 |
| 2036 | 53.65 | 136.69 | 0 | 32.29 – 75.01 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.45(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.01 | 6.58 | -0.82 | 2.17 – 3.85 |
| 2029 | 5.11 | 11.29 | -1.51 | 3.49 – 6.72 |
| 2031 | 7.21 | 15.19 | -1.34 | 4.86 – 9.55 |
| 2036 | 12.46 | 23.74 | 0.37 | 7.96 – 16.95 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed282.5k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 290k | 303.8k | 277.3k | 281.1k – 299k |
| 2029 | 290k | 303.8k | 277.3k | 268.6k – 311.5k |
| 2031 | 290k | 303.8k | 277.3k | 257.1k – 323k |
| 2036 | 290k | 307.5k | 273.9k | 229.9k – 350.2k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.1(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.35 | 15 | -9.82 | 0.28 – 4.42 |
| 2027 | 3.1 | 15 | -10 | -0.57 – 6.76 |
| 2029 | 3.84 | 15 | -10 | -1 – 8.69 |
| 2034 | 5.71 | 15 | -10 | -1.62 – 13.04 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.52(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 6.13 | 9.06 | 3.21 | 5.59 – 6.68 |
| 2029 | 4.8 | 9.87 | 0 | 3.79 – 5.8 |
| 2031 | 3.46 | 10 | 0 | 2.18 – 4.74 |
| 2036 | 0.12 | 9.38 | 0 | 0 – 1.7 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/BRB · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
