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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Forecast/Bhutan

Forecast

Bhutan — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection
8.08

Bhutan: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2024, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2033, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed

-19.3
(2026)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027-19.95-1.6-30-24.01 – -15.88
2029-21.2410.53-30-28.74 – -13.74
2031-22.5318.48-30-30 – -12.36
2036-25.7630-30-30 – -9.8

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed28.39(2023)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202428.2833.4223.8227.09 – 29.47
202628.0636.9720.3325.44 – 30.68
202827.8439.3517.8623.97 – 31.71
203327.2943.5613.1820.6 – 33.98

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed3bn(2023)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20274bn4.5bn3.7bn3.9bn – 4.2bn
20294.5bn5.3bn3.9bn4.2bn – 4.9bn
20315bn6bn4.2bn4.4bn – 5.6bn
20366.2bn7.6bn5bn4.9bn – 7.5bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed4.63(2023)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20278.089.536.837.71 – 8.45
20299.4411.957.268.57 – 10.31
203110.8127.999.39 – 12
203612128.029.32 – 12

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed3.8k(2023)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20275.1k5.7k4.6k4.9k – 5.2k
20295.7k6.6k4.8k5.2k – 6.1k
20316.2k7.5k5.1k5.5k – 6.9k
20367.7k9.4k6.1k6.1k – 9.3k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed120.3(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027121.43137.33103.08117.04 – 125.81
2029123.68151.2291.9113.5 – 133.85
2031125.93161.4884.9110.38 – 141.47
2036131.55181.8473.54102.77 – 160.34

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed53.35(2023)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202454.365.8242.7851.67 – 56.93
202656.276.1636.2450.45 – 61.95
202858.183.8732.3449.51 – 66.69
203362.8699.2926.4247.22 – 78.49

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed2.76(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20274.6372.094.03 – 5.23
20296.5910.692.195.36 – 7.82
20318.5513.852.886.69 – 10.41
203613.4520.945.439.64 – 17.26

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed44.61(2023)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202445.8960.9932.7942.99 – 48.78
202647.847025.1641.8 – 53.87
202849.787020.5140.98 – 58.59
203354.667013.2639.09 – 70

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed791.5k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027791.3k828.7k756.6k766.8k – 815.9k
2029792.4k829.9k757.7k733.8k – 851.1k
2031793.5k831k758.7k703.4k – 883.6k
2036796.3k833.9k761.3k631.1k – 961.5k

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed-2.79(2023)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2024-0.0815-10-3.26 – 3.1
20264.9315-10-0.79 – 10.64
20289.9415-102.07 – 15
20331515-102.6 – 15

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed3.23(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20262.765.340.172.32 – 3.2
20281.826.301.05 – 2.59
20300.886.6600 – 1.85
203508.1700 – 1.41

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/BTN · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs