Forecast

Botswana — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

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Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236

Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection

6.35

Botswana: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Exports of goods and services

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	25.74	39.91	13.47	23.31 – 28.18
2027	22.44	46.98	1.18	17.86 – 27.03
2029	19.15	50.82	0	13.09 – 25.2
2034	10.9	55.69	0	2.75 – 19.04

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	22.5bn	26.3bn	19.2bn	21.7bn – 23.3bn
2029	24bn	30.6bn	18.3bn	22.1bn – 25.9bn
2031	25.5bn	34bn	18.2bn	22.5bn – 28.6bn
2036	29.3bn	41.2bn	18.9bn	23.1bn – 35.4bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	6.35	12	-2.19	4.61 – 8.1
2029	9.79	12	-5.02	6.47 – 12
2031	12	12	-7.11	7.36 – 12
2036	12	12	-10	4.88 – 12

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	8.6k	10.2k	7.3k	8.3k – 9k
2029	9k	11.7k	6.7k	8.2k – 9.8k
2031	9.4k	12.9k	6.3k	8.2k – 10.5k
2036	10.3k	15.3k	6k	8.1k – 12.6k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	49.63	56.9	41.24	47.72 – 51.54
2029	54.89	67.49	40.35	50.31 – 59.46
2031	60.15	76.41	41.38	52.83 – 67.46
2036	73.29	96.29	46.75	58.03 – 88.56

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	43.57	51.93	35.22	41.59 – 45.55
2027	43.29	57.76	28.82	39 – 47.58
2029	43.01	61.69	24.33	36.71 – 49.31
2034	42.31	68.73	15.89	31.5 – 53.13

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	6.13	13.86	-2.16	4.31 – 7.94
2029	9.35	22.74	-5	5.93 – 12.76
2031	12.57	29.85	-5	7.73 – 17.4
2036	20.62	45.07	-5	11.9 – 29.33

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	28.6	32.49	25.23	27.59 – 29.62
2027	29.47	36.21	23.64	27.1 – 31.85
2029	30.35	39.04	22.81	26.68 – 34.02
2034	32.53	44.82	21.87	25.57 – 39.49

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2027	2.6m	2.7m	2.5m	2.5m – 2.7m
2029	2.6m	2.7m	2.5m	2.4m – 2.8m
2031	2.7m	2.8m	2.5m	2.4m – 3m
2036	2.7m	2.9m	2.6m	2.2m – 3.3m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2025	-7.18	9.5	-10	-9.39 – -4.98
2027	-10	15	-10	-10 – -5.91
2029	-10	15	-10	-10 – -4.54
2034	-10	15	-10	-10 – -1.8

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Year	Baseline	Optimistic	Pessimistic	Conf. band
2026	25.02	26.52	23.53	24.25 – 25.8
2028	26.12	28.71	23.53	24.19 – 28.05
2030	27.22	30.56	23.87	24.13 – 30.31
2035	29.96	34.69	25.23	23.74 – 36.17

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

2027	-0.74	9.76	-11.24	-2.9 – 1.42
2029	1.58	19.77	-16.61	-2.21 – 5.37
2031	3.9	27.38	-19.58	-1.21 – 9
2036	9.7	30	-23.51	1.37 – 18.02