Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
China: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed3.5
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.86 | 5.33 | 2.38 | 3.49 – 4.22 |
| 2029 | 4.57 | 7.12 | 2.02 | 3.83 – 5.31 |
| 2031 | 5.29 | 8.58 | 1.99 | 4.19 – 6.38 |
| 2036 | 7.07 | 11.73 | 2.41 | 4.99 – 9.15 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed20.02(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20.2 | 22.04 | 18.6 | 19.57 – 20.82 |
| 2027 | 20.54 | 23.74 | 17.77 | 19.02 – 22.06 |
| 2029 | 20.89 | 25.01 | 17.31 | 18.52 – 23.26 |
| 2034 | 21.75 | 27.59 | 16.69 | 17.24 – 26.26 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed18.7T(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 21.5T | 23.7T | 19.7T | 20.9T – 22.2T |
| 2029 | 23.2T | 26.9T | 20T | 21.5T – 24.9T |
| 2031 | 24.9T | 29.7T | 20.7T | 22.1T – 27.7T |
| 2036 | 29.1T | 35.9T | 23.2T | 23.1T – 35.2T |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.98(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.1 | 9.4 | -0.49 | 3.15 – 5.05 |
| 2029 | 3.4 | 12 | -4.55 | 1.71 – 5.09 |
| 2031 | 2.7 | 12 | -7.57 | 0.51 – 4.89 |
| 2036 | 0.96 | 12 | -10 | -2 – 3.91 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed13.3k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 15.4k | 16.9k | 14k | 14.9k – 15.8k |
| 2029 | 16.6k | 19.2k | 14.3k | 15.4k – 17.8k |
| 2031 | 17.8k | 21.2k | 14.9k | 15.8k – 19.9k |
| 2036 | 21k | 25.7k | 16.8k | 16.6k – 25.3k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed106.9(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 112.84 | 117.98 | 106.92 | 109.34 – 116.34 |
| 2029 | 124.72 | 133.32 | 114.81 | 115.5 – 133.95 |
| 2031 | 136.61 | 147.7 | 123.8 | 121.1 – 152.12 |
| 2036 | 166.31 | 182 | 148.21 | 131.81 – 200.81 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed17.18(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17.09 | 18.63 | 15.55 | 16.56 – 17.62 |
| 2027 | 16.91 | 19.57 | 14.24 | 15.66 – 18.16 |
| 2029 | 16.73 | 20.17 | 13.29 | 14.83 – 18.63 |
| 2034 | 16.28 | 21.15 | 11.41 | 12.9 – 19.66 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed0.22(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.71 | 3.84 | -0.57 | 1.21 – 2.21 |
| 2029 | 3.39 | 7.07 | -0.55 | 2.41 – 4.37 |
| 2031 | 5.07 | 9.83 | -0.02 | 3.61 – 6.53 |
| 2036 | 9.27 | 16 | 2.07 | 6.3 – 12.25 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed39.87(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39.55 | 41.63 | 37.75 | 38.33 – 40.78 |
| 2027 | 38.72 | 40.75 | 36.96 | 35.86 – 41.59 |
| 2029 | 37.89 | 40.38 | 35.73 | 33.59 – 42.19 |
| 2034 | 35.81 | 39.33 | 32.76 | 28.38 – 43.24 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.4bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.4bn | 1.5bn | 1.3bn | 1.4bn – 1.4bn |
| 2029 | 1.4bn | 1.5bn | 1.3bn | 1.3bn – 1.5bn |
| 2031 | 1.4bn | 1.5bn | 1.3bn | 1.2bn – 1.6bn |
| 2036 | 1.4bn | 1.5bn | 1.3bn | 1.1bn – 1.7bn |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.77(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.69 | 7.72 | 4.17 | 5.35 – 6.03 |
| 2027 | 5.56 | 9.07 | 2.93 | 4.86 – 6.27 |
| 2029 | 5.43 | 9.96 | 2.04 | 4.43 – 6.43 |
| 2034 | 5.11 | 11.52 | 0.31 | 3.5 – 6.73 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.62(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.15 | 5.74 | 4.55 | 4.97 – 5.32 |
| 2029 | 5.24 | 6.27 | 4.2 | 4.83 – 5.64 |
| 2031 | 5.33 | 6.66 | 3.99 | 4.69 – 5.96 |
| 2036 | 5.55 | 7.44 | 3.66 | 4.37 – 6.73 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/CHN · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
