Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Costa Rica: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
| Year |
|---|
| Baseline |
|---|
| Optimistic |
|---|
| Pessimistic |
|---|
| Conf. band |
|---|
| 2027 | -1.41 | 0.8 | -3.62 | -1.88 – -0.93 |
| 2029 | -1.22 | 2.61 | -5.05 | -2.06 – -0.38 |
| 2031 | -1.03 | 3.91 | -5.97 | -2.12 – 0.06 |
| 2036 | -0.56 | 6.43 | -7.55 | -2.15 – 1.03 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39.66 | 46.38 | 33.83 | 38.07 – 41.26 |
| 2027 | 41.92 | 53.56 | 31.82 | 38.24 – 45.59 |
| 2029 | 44.17 | 59.21 | 31.14 | 38.49 – 49.85 |
| 2034 | 49.81 | 71.08 | 31.39 | 38.81 – 60.82 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 115.9bn | 127.6bn | 105.8bn | 112.3bn – 119.5bn |
| 2029 | 131.3bn | 151.4bn | 113.8bn | 121.5bn – 141bn |
| 2031 | 146.6bn | 172.7bn | 124bn | 130bn – 163.2bn |
| 2036 | 184.9bn | 221.8bn | 153bn | 146.6bn – 223.3bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.21 | 6.14 | 0.68 | 2.68 – 3.75 |
| 2029 | 2.28 | 7.35 | -2.11 | 1.33 – 3.24 |
| 2031 | 1.35 | 7.9 | -4.32 | 0.15 – 2.55 |
| 2036 | -0.98 | 8.28 | -9 | -2.68 – 0.72 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 21.2k | 23.5k | 19.2k | 20.5k – 21.8k |
| 2029 | 23.5k | 27.5k | 20k | 21.7k – 25.2k |
| 2031 | 25.8k | 30.9k | 21.3k | 22.8k – 28.7k |
| 2036 | 31.5k | 38.8k | 25.2k | 25k – 38k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 62.17 | 69.95 | 53.19 | 59.98 – 64.36 |
| 2029 | 64.32 | 77.8 | 48.77 | 59.16 – 69.48 |
| 2031 | 66.46 | 83.86 | 46.39 | 58.47 – 74.46 |
| 2036 | 71.83 | 96.43 | 43.44 | 56.55 – 87.11 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33.24 | 41.41 | 25.06 | 31.45 – 35.02 |
| 2027 | 34.11 | 48.27 | 19.95 | 30.31 – 37.92 |
| 2029 | 34.98 | 53.27 | 16.7 | 29.39 – 40.58 |
| 2034 | 37.17 | 63.03 | 11.31 | 27.26 – 47.07 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -0.48 | 8.74 | -5 | -2.54 – 1.58 |
| 2029 | -0.9 | 15.07 | -5 | -4.48 – 2.69 |
| 2031 | -1.32 | 19.3 | -5 | -5 – 3.36 |
| 2036 | -2.37 | 26.78 | -5 | -5 – 4.47 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15.55 | 17.18 | 14.14 | 15.07 – 16.03 |
| 2027 | 14.87 | 17.7 | 12.42 | 13.75 – 15.99 |
| 2029 | 14.19 | 17.84 | 11.02 | 12.53 – 15.84 |
| 2034 | 12.48 | 17.64 | 8 | 9.74 – 15.21 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.4m | 5.6m | 5.1m | 5.2m – 5.5m |
| 2029 | 5.4m | 5.7m | 5.2m | 5m – 5.8m |
| 2031 | 5.5m | 5.7m | 5.2m | 4.8m – 6.1m |
| 2036 | 5.6m | 6m | 5.2m | 4.4m – 6.8m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.48 | 14.71 | -10 | -1.31 – 2.28 |
| 2027 | 0.93 | 15 | -10 | -2.2 – 4.06 |
| 2029 | 1.37 | 15 | -10 | -2.72 – 5.46 |
| 2034 | 2.48 | 15 | -10 | -3.54 – 8.51 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.41 | 8.48 | 2.34 | 4.86 – 5.97 |
| 2029 | 2.24 | 7.56 | 0 | 1.32 – 3.16 |
| 2031 | 0 | 6.86 | 0 | 0 – 1.13 |
| 2036 | 0 | 9.71 | 0 | 0 – 1.65 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/CRI · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
