Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Dominica: forward projections across 7 macro indicators, horizons 2027, 2029, 2031, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
| Year |
|---|
| Baseline |
|---|
| Optimistic |
|---|
| Pessimistic |
|---|
| Conf. band |
|---|
| 2027 | -30 | -18.29 | -30 | -30 – -27.13 |
| 2029 | -30 | -9.72 | -30 | -30 – -24.42 |
| 2031 | -30 | -3.81 | -30 | -30 – -22.26 |
| 2036 | -30 | 7.03 | -30 | -30 – -17.64 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 821.9m | 940.7m | 718.8m | 794.6m – 849.2m |
| 2029 | 899.8m | 1.1bn | 721.4m | 832.1m – 967.5m |
| 2031 | 977.8m | 1.2bn | 747.5m | 866.8m – 1.1bn |
| 2036 | 1.2bn | 1.5bn | 847m | 929.5m – 1.4bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.19 | 11.6 | -4.09 | 1.74 – 4.64 |
| 2029 | 3.17 | 12 | -9.45 | 0.59 – 5.75 |
| 2031 | 3.16 | 12 | -10 | -0.23 – 6.54 |
| 2036 | 3.11 | 12 | -10 | -1.81 – 8.04 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 10.6k | 12.4k | 9k | 10.2k – 11k |
| 2029 | 10.9k | 14k | 8.3k | 10.1k – 11.8k |
| 2031 | 11.3k | 15.3k | 7.9k | 9.9k – 12.7k |
| 2036 | 12.2k | 17.9k | 7.4k | 9.6k – 14.9k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 99.75 | 116.57 | 80.35 | 95.57 – 103.93 |
| 2029 | 102.66 | 131.78 | 69.05 | 93.25 – 112.06 |
| 2031 | 105.56 | 143.16 | 62.18 | 91.33 – 119.79 |
| 2036 | 112.82 | 165.99 | 51.47 | 86.59 – 139.05 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.35 | 6.51 | -0.03 | 2.6 – 4.11 |
| 2029 | 4.33 | 9.79 | -1.52 | 2.91 – 5.75 |
| 2031 | 5.31 | 12.36 | -2.24 | 3.33 – 7.3 |
| 2036 | 7.76 | 17.73 | -2.92 | 4.31 – 11.21 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 74.4k | 79.7k | 69.4k | 72.1k – 76.7k |
| 2029 | 75.5k | 84.8k | 66.8k | 69.9k – 81.1k |
| 2031 | 76.6k | 88.6k | 65.4k | 67.9k – 85.3k |
| 2036 | 79.3k | 96.3k | 63.5k | 62.9k – 95.8k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/DMA · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
