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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Forecast/Spain

Forecast

Spain — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection
1.43

Spain: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed2.2

(2026)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20272.454.540.361.98 – 2.91
20292.946.56-0.682.06 – 3.82
20313.438.11-1.242.2 – 4.66
20364.6611.28-1.952.57 – 6.76

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed37.06(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202537.6344.1132.0136.1 – 39.16
202738.775029.0435.31 – 42.24
202939.9254.4127.3534.65 – 45.18
203442.7863.2825.0133 – 52.55

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed1.7T(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20272.2T2.4T2T2.1T – 2.3T
20292.5T2.9T2.1T2.3T – 2.7T
20312.8T3.3T2.3T2.4T – 3.1T
20363.4T4.2T2.8T2.7T – 4.2T

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed3.46(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20271.434.83-1.510.84 – 2.02
2029-0.125.77-5.22-1.15 – 0.91
2031-1.675.93-8.25-3.06 – -0.27
2036-5.545.21-10-8.21 – -2.86

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed35.3k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202743.4k47.9k39.5k42k – 44.7k
202948.1k55.9k41.3k44.5k – 51.6k
203152.8k62.9k44k46.8k – 58.8k
203664.5k78.9k52.1k51.1k – 77.9k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed98.2(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202797.9112.2781.3194.12 – 101.68
202997.29122.1968.5788.79 – 105.79
203196.69128.8359.6184.01 – 109.37
203695.18140.6342.7372.96 – 117.4

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed32.89(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202533.4440.1926.6831.87 – 35.01
202734.5346.2322.8331.08 – 37.98
202935.6250.7220.5130.46 – 40.78
203438.3459.716.9828.94 – 47.74

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed2.77(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20273.179.74-3.861.67 – 4.68
20293.5914.97-50.9 – 6.29
20314.0118.7-50.44 – 7.59
20365.0625.83-5-0.35 – 10.48

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed20.29(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202520.3621.4319.4419.73 – 20.99
202720.5421.9819.2919.02 – 22.06
202920.7122.5719.118.36 – 23.06
203421.1523.7818.8716.76 – 25.53

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed48.8m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202750.1m52.5m47.9m48.6m – 51.7m
202950.8m53.2m48.5m47m – 54.5m
203151.4m53.9m49.2m45.6m – 57.3m
203653.1m55.6m50.7m42m – 64.1m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed0.66(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20250.1613.53-9.87-1.53 – 1.84
2027-0.7415-10-3.68 – 2.21
2029-1.6315-10-5.5 – 2.24
2034-3.8615-10-9.77 – 2.04

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed10.38(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20278.829.717.938.54 – 9.1
20296.868.395.326.29 – 7.42
20314.96.882.914.2 – 5.59
203602.8100 – 0.59

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/ESP · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs