Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Ethiopia: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -1.96 | 1.29 | -5.21 | -2.65 – -1.26 |
| 2029 | -1.07 | 4.56 | -6.7 | -2.27 – 0.13 |
| 2031 | -0.19 | 7.08 | -7.45 | -1.75 – 1.38 |
| 2036 | 2.03 | 12.31 | -8.25 | -0.39 – 4.45 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.54(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.28 | 7.09 | 3.7 | 4.93 – 5.62 |
| 2027 | 4.75 | 7.9 | 2.02 | 4.07 – 5.43 |
| 2029 | 4.22 | 8.29 | 0.7 | 3.31 – 5.14 |
| 2034 | 2.91 | 8.65 | 0 | 1.62 – 4.19 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed149.7bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 118.1bn | 156.9bn | 84.5bn | 111.6bn – 124.6bn |
| 2029 | 111.9bn | 179bn | 53.7bn | 98.5bn – 125.2bn |
| 2031 | 105.6bn | 192.3bn | 30.4bn | 86.8bn – 124.3bn |
| 2036 | 89.9bn | 212.5bn | 0 | 60.9bn – 118.8bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed7.61(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 9.91 | 11.47 | 8.56 | 9.49 – 10.33 |
| 2029 | 11.56 | 12 | 9.22 | 10.55 – 12 |
| 2031 | 12 | 12 | 8.98 | 10.46 – 12 |
| 2036 | 12 | 12 | 7.74 | 9.26 – 12 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.1k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.1k | 1.3k | 944.59 | 1.1k – 1.1k |
| 2029 | 1.1k | 1.4k | 867.16 | 1k – 1.2k |
| 2031 | 1.1k | 1.5k | 822.51 | 1k – 1.3k |
| 2036 | 1.2k | 1.7k | 758.88 | 956.85 – 1.5k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed40.4(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 37.99 | 47.49 | 27.02 | 35.92 – 40.06 |
| 2029 | 33.16 | 49.63 | 14.16 | 29.04 – 37.29 |
| 2031 | 28.34 | 49.59 | 3.81 | 22.8 – 33.87 |
| 2036 | 16.27 | 46.34 | 0 | 9.04 – 23.5 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed11.86(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10.28 | 14.14 | 6.42 | 9.52 – 11.03 |
| 2027 | 7.11 | 13.79 | 0.42 | 5.74 – 8.47 |
| 2029 | 3.94 | 12.57 | 0 | 2.3 – 5.57 |
| 2034 | 0 | 12.21 | 0 | 0 – 2.03 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed21.04(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 12.21 | 23.89 | -0.31 | 9.42 – 14.99 |
| 2029 | 10.25 | 30.48 | -5 | 5.27 – 15.22 |
| 2031 | 8.29 | 34.41 | -5 | 1.83 – 14.74 |
| 2036 | 3.39 | 40.33 | -5 | -5 – 12.12 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed20.58(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18.6 | 22.34 | 15.36 | 17.77 – 19.43 |
| 2027 | 13.46 | 19.94 | 7.85 | 11.89 – 15.03 |
| 2029 | 8.32 | 16.69 | 1.08 | 6.46 – 10.19 |
| 2034 | 0 | 11.83 | 0 | 0 – 1.85 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed132.1m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 116.3m | 130.9m | 102.8m | 112.7m – 120m |
| 2029 | 118.3m | 143.5m | 94.9m | 109.5m – 127m |
| 2031 | 120.2m | 152.8m | 90m | 106.6m – 133.9m |
| 2036 | 125.1m | 171.2m | 82.3m | 99.2m – 151.1m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.31(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.25 | 8.87 | 0.79 | 3.61 – 4.9 |
| 2027 | 4.1 | 12.09 | -1.9 | 2.9 – 5.29 |
| 2029 | 3.94 | 14.26 | -3.8 | 2.34 – 5.55 |
| 2034 | 3.56 | 15 | -7.39 | 1.16 – 5.95 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.32(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.18 | 3.58 | 2.77 | 3.06 – 3.29 |
| 2028 | 2.88 | 3.59 | 2.18 | 2.64 – 3.13 |
| 2030 | 2.59 | 3.5 | 1.68 | 2.24 – 2.94 |
| 2035 | 1.86 | 3.15 | 0.57 | 1.37 – 2.35 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/ETH · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
