Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
France: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
| Year |
|---|
| Baseline |
|---|
| Optimistic |
|---|
| Pessimistic |
|---|
| Conf. band |
|---|
| 2027 | -0.28 | 2.82 | -3.37 | -0.92 – 0.37 |
| 2029 | -0.23 | 5.13 | -5.59 | -1.37 – 0.91 |
| 2031 | -0.18 | 6.74 | -7.1 | -1.67 – 1.31 |
| 2036 | -0.06 | 9.73 | -9.85 | -2.22 – 2.1 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34.28 | 40.41 | 28.97 | 32.85 – 35.7 |
| 2027 | 35.06 | 45.67 | 25.86 | 31.86 – 38.25 |
| 2029 | 35.83 | 49.54 | 23.96 | 31.01 – 40.66 |
| 2034 | 37.78 | 57.16 | 20.98 | 28.96 – 46.59 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.7T | 4.1T | 3.4T | 3.6T – 3.8T |
| 2029 | 4T | 4.7T | 3.5T | 3.7T – 4.3T |
| 2031 | 4.4T | 5.2T | 3.7T | 3.9T – 4.9T |
| 2036 | 5.2T | 6.3T | 4.2T | 4.1T – 6.2T |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0.51 | 3.75 | -2.31 | -0.05 – 1.06 |
| 2029 | -0.45 | 5.18 | -5.33 | -1.43 – 0.54 |
| 2031 | -1.4 | 5.86 | -7.7 | -2.72 – -0.08 |
| 2036 | -3.78 | 6.49 | -10 | -6.1 – -1.47 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 53.8k | 59k | 49.2k | 52.1k – 55.4k |
| 2029 | 58.1k | 67.2k | 50.2k | 53.8k – 62.4k |
| 2031 | 62.4k | 74.2k | 52.2k | 55.3k – 69.5k |
| 2036 | 73.2k | 89.8k | 58.7k | 58k – 88.3k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 120.56 | 130.58 | 109 | 116.82 – 124.3 |
| 2029 | 124.88 | 142.23 | 104.87 | 115.64 – 134.12 |
| 2031 | 129.21 | 151.6 | 103.36 | 114.54 – 143.88 |
| 2036 | 140.01 | 171.68 | 103.47 | 110.97 – 169.06 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34.68 | 41.18 | 28.19 | 33.13 – 36.23 |
| 2027 | 35.61 | 46.86 | 24.36 | 32.18 – 39.04 |
| 2029 | 36.54 | 51.07 | 22.02 | 31.39 – 41.69 |
| 2034 | 38.86 | 59.4 | 18.32 | 29.5 – 48.22 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.33 | 6.71 | -2.36 | 1.32 – 3.34 |
| 2029 | 3.59 | 11.17 | -4.53 | 1.74 – 5.44 |
| 2031 | 4.85 | 14.64 | -5 | 2.29 – 7.41 |
| 2036 | 8 | 21.84 | -5 | 3.65 – 12.35 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21.93 | 23.19 | 20.85 | 21.25 – 22.61 |
| 2027 | 21.55 | 23.73 | 19.67 | 19.96 – 23.15 |
| 2029 | 21.17 | 23.98 | 18.74 | 18.77 – 23.57 |
| 2034 | 20.22 | 24.19 | 16.78 | 16.02 – 24.41 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 69m | 72.2m | 65.9m | 66.8m – 71.1m |
| 2029 | 69.2m | 72.5m | 66.1m | 64.1m – 74.3m |
| 2031 | 69.4m | 72.7m | 66.3m | 61.5m – 77.3m |
| 2036 | 69.9m | 73.2m | 66.9m | 55.4m – 84.4m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.8 | 13.81 | -8.95 | -0.84 – 2.45 |
| 2027 | 0.24 | 15 | -10 | -2.63 – 3.1 |
| 2029 | -0.33 | 15 | -10 | -4.05 – 3.38 |
| 2034 | -1.76 | 15 | -10 | -7.18 – 3.67 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 7.93 | 8.53 | 7.32 | 7.68 – 8.17 |
| 2029 | 7.98 | 9.03 | 6.93 | 7.39 – 8.57 |
| 2031 | 8.03 | 9.38 | 6.68 | 7.12 – 8.94 |
| 2036 | 8.16 | 10.08 | 6.25 | 6.47 – 9.86 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/FRA · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
