Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Gambia, The: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -5.06 | -3 | -7.12 | -5.56 – -4.56 |
| 2029 | -4.98 | -1.4 | -8.55 | -5.95 – -4.01 |
| 2031 | -4.9 | -0.28 | -9.51 | -6.23 – -3.56 |
| 2036 | -4.7 | 1.83 | -11.22 | -6.78 – -2.61 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed8.75(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.58 | 15.8 | 0 | 5.16 – 8 |
| 2027 | 2.25 | 18.21 | 0 | 0 – 4.63 |
| 2029 | 0 | 20.61 | 0 | 0 – 3.02 |
| 2034 | 0 | 29.15 | 0 | 0 – 4.32 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.4bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.9bn | 3.1bn | 2.8bn | 2.8bn – 3bn |
| 2029 | 3.2bn | 3.5bn | 2.9bn | 2.9bn – 3.4bn |
| 2031 | 3.5bn | 3.9bn | 3.1bn | 3.1bn – 3.9bn |
| 2036 | 4.2bn | 4.7bn | 3.7bn | 3.3bn – 5bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.55(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.99 | 6.09 | 4.04 | 4.73 – 5.25 |
| 2029 | 4.72 | 6.63 | 3.06 | 4.17 – 5.26 |
| 2031 | 4.45 | 6.91 | 2.31 | 3.68 – 5.21 |
| 2036 | 3.77 | 7.25 | 0.75 | 2.58 – 4.95 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed871.34(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 973.51 | 1k | 919.1 | 943.34 – 1k |
| 2029 | 1k | 1.1k | 934.86 | 952.97 – 1.1k |
| 2031 | 1.1k | 1.2k | 963.02 | 961.54 – 1.2k |
| 2036 | 1.2k | 1.4k | 1.1k | 969.85 – 1.5k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed68.3(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 66.58 | 72.21 | 60.09 | 64.52 – 68.65 |
| 2029 | 63.15 | 72.89 | 51.91 | 58.48 – 67.82 |
| 2031 | 59.71 | 72.29 | 45.2 | 52.93 – 66.49 |
| 2036 | 51.12 | 68.91 | 30.6 | 40.21 – 62.04 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed33.42(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32.51 | 39.58 | 25.45 | 30.91 – 34.12 |
| 2027 | 30.7 | 42.93 | 18.47 | 27.35 – 34.04 |
| 2029 | 28.88 | 44.67 | 13.09 | 24.16 – 33.61 |
| 2034 | 24.35 | 46.68 | 2.02 | 17.03 – 31.66 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed11.56(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.38 | 14.16 | -4.03 | 3.35 – 7.41 |
| 2029 | 2.44 | 17.65 | -5 | -1.05 – 5.93 |
| 2031 | -0.5 | 19.14 | -5 | -4.93 – 3.94 |
| 2036 | -5 | 22.78 | -5 | -5 – 1.96 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed29.94(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30.11 | 37.44 | 23.75 | 28.58 – 31.63 |
| 2027 | 30.82 | 43.51 | 19.81 | 27.52 – 34.11 |
| 2029 | 31.53 | 47.91 | 17.32 | 26.66 – 36.39 |
| 2034 | 33.3 | 56.48 | 13.21 | 24.66 – 41.94 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.8m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.9m | 3m | 2.8m | 2.8m – 3m |
| 2029 | 3m | 3.1m | 2.9m | 2.8m – 3.2m |
| 2031 | 3.1m | 3.2m | 2.9m | 2.7m – 3.4m |
| 2036 | 3.3m | 3.4m | 3.1m | 2.6m – 3.9m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.44(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.48 | 7.78 | -1.5 | 1.78 – 3.18 |
| 2027 | 2.58 | 11.77 | -4.31 | 1.31 – 3.85 |
| 2029 | 2.68 | 14.55 | -6.22 | 0.98 – 4.38 |
| 2034 | 2.93 | 15 | -9.65 | 0.37 – 5.5 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.52(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6.65 | 7.08 | 6.22 | 6.45 – 6.86 |
| 2028 | 6.92 | 7.66 | 6.17 | 6.41 – 7.43 |
| 2030 | 7.18 | 8.14 | 6.22 | 6.37 – 8 |
| 2035 | 7.84 | 9.2 | 6.48 | 6.21 – 9.47 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/GMB · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
