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World/Forecast/Guatemala

Forecast

Guatemala — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection
3.79

Guatemala: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2034, 2035, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed

3.2
(2026)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20273.37.03-0.432.49 – 4.12
20293.519.96-2.952.02 – 4.99
20313.7112.05-4.621.71 – 5.71
20364.2216.01-7.571.14 – 7.31

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed15.89(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202515.6518.2113.4215.03 – 16.26
202715.1519.5911.3113.79 – 16.51
202914.6620.399.6912.67 – 16.65
203413.4221.536.410.12 – 16.73

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed113.2bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027135.3bn142.4bn129.1bn131.1bn – 139.4bn
2029151.4bn161.7bn142.5bn140.2bn – 162.6bn
2031167.5bn180.8bn156bn148.5bn – 186.6bn
2036207.9bn226.7bn191.6bn164.8bn – 251bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed3.65(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20273.797.060.953.18 – 4.39
20293.499.15-1.422.38 – 4.6
20313.1910.5-3.151.72 – 4.67
20362.4412-6.520.33 – 4.56

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed6.2k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20277.1k7.5k6.8k6.9k – 7.3k
20297.8k8.4k7.3k7.2k – 8.4k
20318.5k9.2k7.9k7.5k – 9.5k
203610.3k11.3k9.4k8.1k – 12.4k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed27.6(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202727.6831.2923.5126.68 – 28.68
202927.8434.0920.6225.54 – 30.14
20312836.0718.6824.52 – 31.48
203628.3939.8115.2222.09 – 34.69

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed31.45(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202532.339.1725.4330.73 – 33.86
202733.9945.8922.0930.53 – 37.44
202935.6851.0420.3130.47 – 40.88
203439.961.6318.1730.19 – 49.61

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed2.87(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20273.27.32-1.22.24 – 4.17
20294.611.73-3.032.8 – 6.4
2031615.2-3.853.48 – 8.52
20369.522.51-4.445.1 – 13.91

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed16.11(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202516.2418.2514.4915.69 – 16.78
202716.6220.1113.5915.32 – 17.92
20291721.5113.115 – 19.01
203417.9624.3412.4414.18 – 21.75

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed18.4m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202718.9m19.7m18m18.3m – 19.4m
202919.1m20m18.3m17.7m – 20.6m
203119.4m20.3m18.6m17.2m – 21.6m
203620.1m21.1m19.3m16m – 24.3m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed1.31(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20251.6413.68-7.390.11 – 3.17
20272.2715-10-0.45 – 4.98
20292.8915-10-0.7 – 6.49
20344.4615-10-1.01 – 9.93

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed2.6(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20262.573.791.352.34 – 2.8
20282.54.620.392.06 – 2.95
20302.435.1601.82 – 3.05
20352.266.1201.31 – 3.22

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/GTM · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs