Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Hong Kong: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed12.6
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 13.5 | 18.62 | 8.37 | 12.23 – 14.76 |
| 2029 | 15.29 | 24.16 | 6.41 | 12.74 – 17.83 |
| 2031 | 17.08 | 28.54 | 5.63 | 13.38 – 20.79 |
| 2036 | 21.56 | 30 | 5.36 | 14.81 – 28.32 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed181.79(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 150 | 150 | 125.14 | 143.5 – 150 |
| 2027 | 150 | 150 | 106.95 | 135.7 – 150 |
| 2029 | 150 | 150 | 94.42 | 128.84 – 150 |
| 2034 | 150 | 150 | 71.4 | 113.04 – 150 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed406.9bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 465.6bn | 501.4bn | 434.5bn | 451.1bn – 480bn |
| 2029 | 503.9bn | 565.9bn | 450.2bn | 466.6bn – 541.2bn |
| 2031 | 542.3bn | 622.3bn | 472.9bn | 480.7bn – 603.8bn |
| 2036 | 638.1bn | 751.3bn | 540bn | 505.8bn – 770.5bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.5(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.37 | 12 | -7.59 | 0.42 – 4.33 |
| 2029 | 2.32 | 12 | -10 | -1.11 – 5.75 |
| 2031 | 2.27 | 12 | -10 | -2.2 – 6.73 |
| 2036 | 2.14 | 12 | -10 | -4.27 – 8.54 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed54.1k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 61.6k | 66.1k | 57.7k | 59.7k – 63.5k |
| 2029 | 66.6k | 74.4k | 59.8k | 61.7k – 71.5k |
| 2031 | 71.5k | 81.6k | 62.8k | 63.4k – 79.7k |
| 2036 | 84k | 98.2k | 71.6k | 66.5k – 101.4k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed14.1(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 15.74 | 17.65 | 13.55 | 15.2 – 16.29 |
| 2029 | 19.03 | 22.33 | 15.23 | 17.61 – 20.46 |
| 2031 | 22.32 | 26.58 | 17.41 | 19.79 – 24.86 |
| 2036 | 30.55 | 36.57 | 23.6 | 24.21 – 36.89 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed177.72(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 150 | 150 | 126.67 | 144.03 – 150 |
| 2027 | 150 | 150 | 109.6 | 136.62 – 150 |
| 2029 | 150 | 150 | 97.84 | 130.02 – 150 |
| 2034 | 150 | 150 | 76.23 | 114.71 – 150 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.73(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.42 | 3.24 | 1.54 | 2.2 – 2.64 |
| 2029 | 3.4 | 4.82 | 1.87 | 2.92 – 3.88 |
| 2031 | 4.38 | 6.22 | 2.41 | 3.62 – 5.13 |
| 2036 | 6.83 | 9.43 | 4.04 | 5.16 – 8.5 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed16.29(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16 | 18.54 | 13.8 | 15.38 – 16.62 |
| 2027 | 15.19 | 19.58 | 11.38 | 13.83 – 16.54 |
| 2029 | 14.37 | 20.05 | 9.45 | 12.41 – 16.33 |
| 2034 | 12.34 | 20.36 | 5.38 | 9.22 – 15.46 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed7.5m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 7.5m | 7.9m | 7.2m | 7.3m – 7.8m |
| 2029 | 7.6m | 7.9m | 7.3m | 7m – 8.2m |
| 2031 | 7.6m | 8m | 7.3m | 6.8m – 8.5m |
| 2036 | 7.7m | 8.2m | 7.3m | 6.1m – 9.3m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.17(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.66 | 15 | -6.7 | 1.05 – 4.26 |
| 2027 | 1.94 | 15 | -10 | -0.86 – 4.73 |
| 2029 | 1.22 | 15 | -10 | -2.36 – 4.81 |
| 2034 | -0.57 | 15 | -10 | -5.67 – 4.52 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.8(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.9 | 4.2 | 1.61 | 2.66 – 3.15 |
| 2029 | 2.11 | 4.36 | 0 | 1.66 – 2.55 |
| 2031 | 1.32 | 4.22 | 0 | 0.77 – 1.87 |
| 2036 | 0 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 – 0.79 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/HKG · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
