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World/Forecast/Honduras

Forecast

Honduras — macro forecast

Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Forecast

Forward projections

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.

Forecast heldDerivedledger ca5c236
Real GDP growth — 2027 baseline projection
2.81

Honduras: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.

Current account balance to GDP

Latest observed-2.6

(2026)
· IMF DataMapper API
YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2027-2.567.45-12.57-4.64 – -0.47
2029-2.4714.87-19.81-6.12 – 1.19
2031-2.3820-24.76-7.14 – 2.38
2036-2.1629.49-30-8.97 – 4.65

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Exports of goods and services

Latest observed33.55(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202532.6339.3726.7931.15 – 34.12
202730.842.4620.6927.65 – 33.94
202928.9644.0215.9124.49 – 33.43
203424.3745.675.9117.43 – 31.31

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross domestic product, current US dollars

Latest observed37.1bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202743.5bn47.3bn40.2bn42.1bn – 44.8bn
202948.6bn55.1bn42.9bn45bn – 52.1bn
203153.6bn62.1bn46.3bn47.5bn – 59.7bn
203666.2bn78.2bn55.9bn52.5bn – 80bn

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Real GDP growth

Latest observed3.55(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20272.819.73-3.191.61 – 4.01
20291.6212-8.77-0.46 – 3.69
20310.4212-10-2.24 – 3.08
2036-2.5612-10-6.61 – 1.5

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

GDP per capita, current US dollars

Latest observed3.4k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20273.9k4.2k3.5k3.7k – 4k
20294.2k4.9k3.7k3.9k – 4.5k
20314.6k5.4k3.9k4.1k – 5.1k
20365.5k6.6k4.5k4.3k – 6.6k

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

General government debt to GDP

Latest observed43.8(2026)· IMF DataMapper API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202743.5851.5734.3641.65 – 45.51
202943.1456.9927.1738.94 – 47.34
203142.7160.5822.0836.54 – 48.87
203641.6166.8912.4531.07 – 52.16

Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Imports of goods and services

Latest observed57.56(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202557.9671.6844.2354.93 – 60.99
202758.7682.5334.9852.3 – 65.22
202959.5590.2428.8650.09 – 69.01
203461.54104.9518.1445.05 – 78.04

Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Consumer price inflation

Latest observed4.61(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20274.389.47-1.073.19 – 5.58
20294.112.92-51.95 – 6.25
20313.8215.2-51 – 6.65
20363.1219.21-5-0.94 – 7.19

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Gross fixed capital formation to GDP

Latest observed23.93(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202524.1329.5519.4422.97 – 25.29
202724.734.0816.5722.18 – 27.23
202925.2737.3814.7821.52 – 29.02
203426.6943.8111.8519.97 – 33.41

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Total population

Latest observed10.8m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
202711.1m11.7m10.6m10.8m – 11.5m
202911.3m11.9m10.8m10.5m – 12.2m
203111.5m12.1m11m10.2m – 12.8m
203612m12.6m11.5m9.5m – 14.5m

Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Productivity growth

Latest observed-0.15(2024)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
2025-0.969.24-8.6-2.25 – 0.34
2027-2.8914.78-10-5.23 – -0.54
2029-4.8215-10-8.05 – -1.58
2034-9.6415-10-10 – -4.07

Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Unemployment rate

Latest observed4.92(2025)· World Bank Indicators API

YearBaselineOptimisticPessimisticConf. band
20276.199.193.25.64 – 6.75
20294.9810.1703.95 – 6.01
20313.7610.4602.44 – 5.09
20360.7310.200 – 2.34

Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%

Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/HND · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs