Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Croatia: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed-3.8
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -4.41 | 0.9 | -9.73 | -5.57 – -3.26 |
| 2029 | -5.64 | 3.56 | -14.84 | -7.79 – -3.49 |
| 2031 | -6.87 | 5.01 | -18.75 | -9.85 – -3.9 |
| 2036 | -9.94 | 6.86 | -26.74 | -14.96 – -4.92 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed50.14(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 50.87 | 64.79 | 38.81 | 48.07 – 53.68 |
| 2027 | 52.33 | 76.45 | 31.44 | 46.38 – 58.29 |
| 2029 | 53.8 | 84.93 | 26.82 | 45.05 – 62.55 |
| 2034 | 57.45 | 101.48 | 19.3 | 41.97 – 72.94 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed93bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 124.3bn | 136.8bn | 113.4bn | 120.4bn – 128.1bn |
| 2029 | 143.8bn | 165.5bn | 125bn | 133.1bn – 154.4bn |
| 2031 | 163.3bn | 191.3bn | 139bn | 144.7bn – 181.8bn |
| 2036 | 212bn | 251.6bn | 177.7bn | 168bn – 256bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.83(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.71 | 6.08 | -2.07 | 0.96 – 2.47 |
| 2029 | -0.4 | 7.16 | -6.96 | -1.71 – 0.9 |
| 2031 | -2.52 | 7.24 | -10 | -4.35 – -0.69 |
| 2036 | -7.81 | 6 | -10 | -10 – -4.26 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed24.1k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 32k | 35.1k | 29.3k | 31k – 33k |
| 2029 | 37k | 42.4k | 32.3k | 34.2k – 39.7k |
| 2031 | 41.9k | 48.9k | 35.9k | 37.2k – 46.7k |
| 2036 | 54.4k | 64.3k | 45.8k | 43.1k – 65.7k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed56.5(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 53.78 | 66.66 | 38.91 | 50.93 – 56.62 |
| 2029 | 48.33 | 70.64 | 22.58 | 42.57 – 54.08 |
| 2031 | 42.88 | 71.68 | 9.63 | 35.01 – 50.74 |
| 2036 | 29.25 | 69.99 | 0 | 18.3 – 40.2 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed54.77(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56.18 | 69.56 | 42.79 | 53.23 – 59.12 |
| 2027 | 58.99 | 82.17 | 35.8 | 52.61 – 65.37 |
| 2029 | 61.8 | 91.73 | 31.87 | 52.27 – 71.32 |
| 2034 | 68.82 | 111.15 | 26.5 | 51.33 – 86.31 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed2.97(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.41 | 13.57 | -5 | 2.31 – 6.51 |
| 2029 | 4.41 | 20.27 | -5 | 0.68 – 8.14 |
| 2031 | 4.41 | 24.89 | -5 | -0.48 – 9.3 |
| 2036 | 4.41 | 33.37 | -5 | -2.72 – 11.53 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed25.2(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26.19 | 28.91 | 23.84 | 25.38 – 27 |
| 2027 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 24.52 | 26.48 – 30.71 |
| 2029 | 31 | 37.07 | 25.74 | 27.48 – 34.52 |
| 2034 | 37.01 | 45.6 | 29.57 | 29.34 – 44.69 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.9m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.9m | 4.1m | 3.7m | 3.8m – 4m |
| 2029 | 3.9m | 4.1m | 3.7m | 3.6m – 4.2m |
| 2031 | 3.9m | 4.1m | 3.7m | 3.5m – 4.3m |
| 2036 | 3.9m | 4.1m | 3.7m | 3.1m – 4.7m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed1.98(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.57 | 15 | -10 | -1.89 – 3.02 |
| 2027 | -2.37 | 15 | -10 | -6.71 – 1.97 |
| 2029 | -5.31 | 15 | -10 | -10 – 0.57 |
| 2034 | -10 | 15 | -10 | -10 – -0.69 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4 | 4.73 | 3.28 | 3.83 – 4.18 |
| 2029 | 2.8 | 4.06 | 1.55 | 2.48 – 3.13 |
| 2031 | 1.61 | 3.23 | 0 | 1.23 – 1.98 |
| 2036 | 0 | 2.29 | 0 | 0 – 0.51 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/HRV · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
