Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Isle of Man: forward projections across 4 macro indicators, horizons 2023, 2025, 2027, 2029, 2032, 2034. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 7.5bn | 8.8bn | 6.4bn | 7.3bn – 7.8bn |
| 2025 | 7.8bn | 10bn | 5.9bn | 7.2bn – 8.4bn |
| 2027 | 8.1bn | 10.9bn | 5.6bn | 7.1bn – 9bn |
| 2032 | 8.7bn | 12.7bn | 5.2bn | 6.8bn – 10.6bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed-4.17(2022)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | -2.94 | 12 | -10 | -5.71 – -0.18 |
| 2025 | -0.9 | 12 | -10 | -5.66 – 3.86 |
| 2027 | 1.15 | 12 | -10 | -5.03 – 7.32 |
| 2032 | 6.26 | 12 | -10 | -3.34 – 12 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed88.3k(2022)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 89.6k | 104.7k | 76.6k | 86.4k – 92.8k |
| 2025 | 92.5k | 118.6k | 69.9k | 84.9k – 100k |
| 2027 | 95.3k | 129k | 66.1k | 83.7k – 107k |
| 2032 | 102.5k | 150.1k | 61.2k | 80.4k – 124.5k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed84.2k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 84.1k | 88.1k | 80.5k | 81.5k – 86.8k |
| 2027 | 84.1k | 88.1k | 80.4k | 77.9k – 90.4k |
| 2029 | 84.1k | 88.1k | 80.4k | 74.6k – 93.7k |
| 2034 | 84.1k | 88.1k | 80.4k | 66.7k – 101.6k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/IMN · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
