Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Iceland: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed-0.7
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -1.72 | 3.76 | -7.2 | -2.86 – -0.57 |
| 2029 | -3.75 | 5.74 | -13.25 | -5.87 – -1.64 |
| 2031 | -5.79 | 6.47 | -18.05 | -8.75 – -2.82 |
| 2036 | -10.88 | 6.46 | -28.21 | -16.16 – -5.6 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed42.45(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 42.16 | 53.98 | 31.91 | 39.79 – 44.52 |
| 2027 | 41.56 | 62.05 | 23.81 | 36.64 – 46.49 |
| 2029 | 40.97 | 67.42 | 18.05 | 33.92 – 48.03 |
| 2034 | 39.49 | 76.89 | 7.08 | 27.83 – 51.15 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed33.3bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 46.7bn | 52.2bn | 41.9bn | 45.2bn – 48.1bn |
| 2029 | 54bn | 63.6bn | 45.6bn | 50bn – 57.9bn |
| 2031 | 61.2bn | 73.6bn | 50.5bn | 54.3bn – 68.2bn |
| 2036 | 79.4bn | 96.9bn | 64.2bn | 62.9bn – 95.9bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed-0.97(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.4 | 10.12 | -4.3 | 1.07 – 3.72 |
| 2029 | 3.2 | 12 | -8.41 | 0.81 – 5.58 |
| 2031 | 4 | 12 | -10 | 0.8 – 7.2 |
| 2036 | 6 | 12 | -10 | 0.96 – 11.03 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed86k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 116.5k | 130.9k | 104.1k | 112.9k – 120.1k |
| 2029 | 133.1k | 157.9k | 111.5k | 123.2k – 142.9k |
| 2031 | 149.6k | 181.7k | 121.8k | 132.6k – 166.6k |
| 2036 | 191k | 236.4k | 151.7k | 151.4k – 230.6k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed53.6(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 51.93 | 61.84 | 40.49 | 49.57 – 54.29 |
| 2029 | 48.59 | 65.76 | 28.77 | 43.61 – 53.56 |
| 2031 | 45.25 | 67.42 | 19.66 | 38.21 – 52.28 |
| 2036 | 36.89 | 68.25 | 0.71 | 26.16 – 47.62 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed43.52(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44.11 | 52.15 | 36.06 | 42.17 – 46.05 |
| 2027 | 45.29 | 59.23 | 31.36 | 40.99 – 49.6 |
| 2029 | 46.48 | 64.47 | 28.49 | 40.01 – 52.95 |
| 2034 | 49.45 | 74.88 | 24.01 | 37.64 – 61.25 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed5.86(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.3 | 10.02 | 0.25 | 4.17 – 6.43 |
| 2029 | 6.28 | 14.45 | -2.46 | 4.17 – 8.39 |
| 2031 | 7.26 | 17.8 | -4.03 | 4.35 – 10.18 |
| 2036 | 9.71 | 24.62 | -5 | 4.85 – 14.57 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed26.65(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27.45 | 29.42 | 25.74 | 26.6 – 28.3 |
| 2027 | 29.58 | 32.99 | 26.62 | 27.39 – 31.77 |
| 2029 | 31.71 | 36.12 | 27.89 | 28.11 – 35.31 |
| 2034 | 37.04 | 43.27 | 31.64 | 29.36 – 44.72 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed386.5k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 397.9k | 416.7k | 380.4k | 385.6k – 410.2k |
| 2029 | 407.8k | 427.1k | 389.9k | 377.6k – 438k |
| 2031 | 417.7k | 437.4k | 399.4k | 370.3k – 465.1k |
| 2036 | 442.5k | 463.4k | 423k | 350.7k – 534.2k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed-1.99(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -2.77 | 6.83 | -9.96 | -4.01 – -1.52 |
| 2027 | -4.7 | 11.91 | -10 | -7.01 – -2.4 |
| 2029 | -6.64 | 14.81 | -10 | -9.85 – -3.43 |
| 2034 | -10 | 15 | -10 | -10 – -4.61 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.63(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.93 | 5.84 | 2.01 | 3.57 – 4.28 |
| 2029 | 3.38 | 6.69 | 0.07 | 2.71 – 4.05 |
| 2031 | 2.84 | 7.11 | 0 | 1.95 – 3.72 |
| 2036 | 1.47 | 7.52 | 0 | 0.31 – 2.63 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/ISL · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
