Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Israel: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
| Year |
|---|
| Baseline |
|---|
| Optimistic |
|---|
| Pessimistic |
|---|
| Conf. band |
|---|
| 2027 | 1.67 | 3.04 | 0.3 | 1.36 – 1.98 |
| 2029 | 1.21 | 3.59 | -1.17 | 0.66 – 1.75 |
| 2031 | 0.75 | 3.82 | -2.33 | 0.04 – 1.45 |
| 2036 | -0.41 | 3.93 | -4.75 | -1.46 – 0.64 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28.54 | 31.94 | 25.59 | 27.59 – 29.48 |
| 2027 | 28.74 | 34.64 | 23.63 | 26.52 – 30.97 |
| 2029 | 28.95 | 36.56 | 22.35 | 25.55 – 32.35 |
| 2034 | 29.46 | 40.23 | 20.14 | 23.21 – 35.72 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 765.9bn | 848.6bn | 694.2bn | 742.2bn – 789.6bn |
| 2029 | 881.2bn | 1T | 757bn | 816bn – 946.4bn |
| 2031 | 996.6bn | 1.2T | 836.2bn | 883.4bn – 1.1T |
| 2036 | 1.3T | 1.5T | 1.1T | 1T – 1.6T |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.91 | 8.87 | -0.39 | 3.02 – 4.8 |
| 2029 | 4.66 | 12 | -2.79 | 3.01 – 6.32 |
| 2031 | 5.41 | 12 | -4.2 | 3.13 – 7.69 |
| 2036 | 7.29 | 12 | -6.31 | 3.51 – 11.07 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 73.6k | 82k | 66.2k | 71.3k – 75.8k |
| 2029 | 83.1k | 97.8k | 70.3k | 76.9k – 89.2k |
| 2031 | 92.6k | 111.6k | 76.2k | 82.1k – 103.1k |
| 2036 | 116.4k | 143.2k | 93.1k | 92.2k – 140.5k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 70.73 | 80.12 | 59.9 | 68.16 – 73.31 |
| 2029 | 72.6 | 88.86 | 53.84 | 66.61 – 78.59 |
| 2031 | 74.47 | 95.46 | 50.24 | 65.28 – 83.65 |
| 2036 | 79.13 | 108.82 | 44.88 | 61.9 – 96.36 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25.91 | 30.36 | 21.47 | 24.82 – 27.01 |
| 2027 | 25.71 | 33.4 | 18.02 | 23.3 – 28.12 |
| 2029 | 25.51 | 35.44 | 15.58 | 21.95 – 29.07 |
| 2034 | 24.99 | 39.04 | 10.95 | 18.85 – 31.14 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.05 | 4.97 | -1.07 | 1.37 – 2.73 |
| 2029 | 1.07 | 6.12 | -4.34 | -0.1 – 2.24 |
| 2031 | 0.09 | 6.61 | -5 | -1.43 – 1.62 |
| 2036 | -2.36 | 6.86 | -5 | -4.78 – 0.06 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22.61 | 24.73 | 20.77 | 21.91 – 23.31 |
| 2027 | 22.34 | 26.02 | 19.16 | 20.69 – 24 |
| 2029 | 22.08 | 26.82 | 17.97 | 19.57 – 24.59 |
| 2034 | 21.42 | 28.12 | 15.61 | 16.98 – 25.86 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 10.3m | 10.8m | 9.8m | 10m – 10.6m |
| 2029 | 10.5m | 11m | 10m | 9.7m – 11.3m |
| 2031 | 10.7m | 11.2m | 10.2m | 9.5m – 11.9m |
| 2036 | 11.2m | 11.7m | 10.7m | 8.9m – 13.5m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -2.92 | 8.8 | -10 | -4.44 – -1.41 |
| 2027 | -6.85 | 13.45 | -10 | -9.72 – -3.99 |
| 2029 | -10 | 15 | -10 | -10 – -5.92 |
| 2034 | -10 | 15 | -10 | -10 – -3.77 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.96 | 3.83 | 2.09 | 2.78 – 3.14 |
| 2029 | 2.48 | 3.98 | 0.97 | 2.13 – 2.82 |
| 2031 | 1.99 | 3.93 | 0.05 | 1.54 – 2.45 |
| 2036 | 0.78 | 3.53 | 0 | 0.21 – 1.36 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/ISR · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
